The 2021 Grammy Awards will no doubt stand tall on the cultural landscape this weekend, as the best of the best in the music world come forth the be honored. Year in and year out, the Grammys tend to be among the most unpredictable of all awards shows. We’re here to help you tell the contenders from the contenders when you make your prop wagers with this 2021 Grammys betting preview.
While sports, television and film all took a hit in the bizarre year of 2020 due to health and safety concerns, recorded music came out of the whole thing relatively unscathed. While live shows were pretty much impossible, there was nothing stopping artists from putting out albums during their downtime. As a result, competition for nominations was as fierce as ever.
This being the Grammys, there were a number of head-scratching inclusions and glaring omissions with the nominees. But that whole process is in the past. Now it’s just a matter of figuring out who are going to win the awards when they’re handed out on Sunday night.
Betting on The Grammys Results
Many people have more than just a cultural interest in who will win the Grammys. Like so many awards shows, the Grammys have become fodder for betting at top online betting sites. Pick the nominees you think will win and you’ll get paid if you choose right.
But it’s not always as easy as it sounds. The oddsmakers are good at making the obvious choices less profitable, making you search for value as you try to find potential upset winners. If you can, you can potentially come out with an excellent return on gambling investment.
In this article, we’ll try to help you out with all your prop bets on the awards by giving you our 2021 Grammys betting preview. We’ll take a look at the nominees and odds for some of the top awards that will be handed out on the night. And then we’ll tell you who we think you should be betting so that you can emerge with a big payout at the end on the night.
63rd Grammy Awards Betting Odds
Best Rock Song
- “Shameika” by Fiona Apple: -300
- “Kyoto” by Phoebe Bridgers: +225
- “Lost In Yesterday” by Tame Impala: +500
- “Stay High” by Brittany Howard: +650
- “Not” by Big Thief
The rock category has become a big mess because not too many newer artists, who the Grammys are trying to honor, really play what you would call rock anymore. As a result, you get artists shoved in here that are basically singer-songwriter types with no category of their own. That’s why the two major threats in this category are Apple and Bridgers.
In “Shameika said I had potential,” Apple gave us one of the lines of the year, perhaps the highlight of an album that really should be bucking for Album of the Year honors. Bridgers has serious buzz around her lately and really stayed in the public eye throughout the year with a series of releases. She should be a real threat.
Best Rock Song Pick:
Bridgers +225 pulls off the stunner over the heavy favorite in Fiano Apple
Best Value Bet:
Howard at +650 odds should have some backing if Apple and Bridgers split the indie-songstress vote.
Best Rock Album
- The New Abnormal by The Strokes: -250
- Sound & Fury by Sturgill Simpson: +350
- Kiwanuka by Michael Kiwanuka: +450
- Daylight by Grace Potter: +600
- A Hero’s Death by Fontaines D.C.: +1200
Look at a country and western message board and you’ll see that the topic of whether or not Simpson classifies for the genre stirs up quite a debate. But there is no doubt that he is an odd fit for the rock category, even though he does have the notoriety to get voters’ attention. Fontaines D.C. actually play rock music, which, who knows, might give them an outside chance here.
The Strokes deserve an award for getting along long enough to put out another release. Is it any better or worse than any Strokes album since the debut, which is still their greatest moment? Probably not, but it’s enough to put them over the top in this group.
Best Rock Album Pick:
The Strokes -250 find out this is it, after asking the question so many years ago.
Best Value Bet:
Why not go with Fontaines D.C. at +1200 to win one for the purists?
Best Rap Song
- “Savage” by Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyonce: -140
- “The Bigger Picture” by Lil Baby: +120
- “Rockstar” by Da Baby featuring Roddy Ricch: +500
- “The Box” by Roddy Ricch: +550
- “Laugh Now, Cry Later” by Drake featuring Lil Durk: +900
When you get to the specific genre categories, it’s always good to see which artists have also been nominated elsewhere. In this case, notice how “The Box” is also up for Song of the Year. Meanwhile, both “Savage” and “Rockstar” are in the Record of the Year category as well.
That immediately puts those three out in front, leaving Drake and Lil Baby as probably also-rans. The fact that Ricch snuck into the Song and not the Record category stands out as a potential game-changer here. That’s why he’s one of the best values on the night.
Best Rap Song Pick:
Ricch blasts out of the box for the win at +550.
Best Value Bet:
Also Ricch, as he gives you 5 ½ to 1 payback.
Best Pop Duo/Group Performance
- “Exile” by Taylor Swift featuring Bon Iver: -160
- “Rain On Me” by Lady Gaga featuring Ariana Grande: +200
- “Dynamite” by BTS:: +250
- “Intentions” by Justin Bieber featuring Quavo: +1400
- “Une Dia (One Day)” by J. Balvin, Dua Lipa and Bad Bunny: +1600
“Exile” is this generation’s “You Don’t Bring Me Flowers,” which isn’t necessarily a bad thing for Grammy voters. But the competition here is tough. First of all, Gaga and Grande take the star power of the Swift/Vernon and raise it, even if the song in question wasn’t all that memorable.
Then there is the BTS phenomenon. If you’re the Grammys, and you want to endear yourself to millions of fans who might be more inclined to watch in the future, you go the K-pop route. BTS could sneak in here and dance away with the big win.
Best Pop Performance Pick:
BTS at +250 take down the huge names ahead of them in the odds.
Best Value Bet:
The two long shots don’t have any real legitimate chance to win.
Song of The Year
- “Cardigan” by Taylor Swift: -150
- “Don’t Stop Now” by Dua Lipa: +250
- “Black Parade” by Beyonce: +450
- “Everything I Wanted” by Bille Elish: +900
- “Circles” by Post Malone: +1000
- “The Box” by Roddy Ricch: +1200
- “I Can’t Breathe” by H.E.R.: +1200
- “If The World Was Ending” by JP Saxe featuring J. Michaels: +2500
There a few red flags with “Cardigan,” which is the heavy favorite. For one thing, it didn’t get a nomination for Record of the Year, which says that it didn’t impress on that level. Plus, is it that different from any of the other songs on Folklore?
This one probably comes down to Dua Lipa and Beyonce. “Don’t Stop Now” was the ubiquitous song and you never felt too guilty about the pleasure it provided. But “Black Parade” has a lot more on its mind and that will carry the day.
Song of The Year Pick:
Beyonce adds to her awards shelf with another groundbreaking hit at +450.
Best Value Bet:
“Circles” was as oft-heard as “Don’t Stop Now” and could be sneaky at 10 to 1.
Best New Artist
- Megan Thee Stallion: -250
- Doja Cat: +250
- Phoebe Bridgers: +350
- Noah Cyrus: +1800
- Chika: +1800
- Ingrid Andress: +2000
- Smoke: +3300
- Kaytranada: +3300
Megan Thee Stallion was savage indeed, with the kind of sharp point of view and effortless flow that’s rare. She also is well-represented in the other categories as well. But Doja Cat is also riding high off the luscious “Say So,” which makes her a threat.
Bridgers is far from a new artist to anybody but Grammy voters. But her album was hard to deny and she has a lot of love in the industry. The others are probably out of it.
Best New Artist Pick:
Doja Cat takes it as the second choice at +250.
Best Value Bet:
If you have to go with a long shot, Andress at +2000 should be the pick.
Record of The Year
- “Don’t Start Now” by Dua Lipa: -240
- “Black Parade” by Beyonce: +350
- “Savage” by Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyonce: +350
- “Everything I Wanted” by Billie Eilish: +650
- “Circles” by Post Malone: +1200
- “Say So” by Doja Cat: +1200
- “Colors” by Black Pumas: +2000
- “Rockstar” by Da Baby featuring Roddy Ricch: +2000
Remember that Record of the Year is distinguished from Song of the Year by looking at the production as well, which could know some of these songs out. For example, Eilish was her usual haunting self on “Everything I Wanted.” But the song is so low-key compared to the others here; plus, she was honored to the hilt last year and will probably be quieter on Sunday.
Again, Dua Lipa and Beyonce are at the top of the list, but Post Malone and Doja Cat also could stake claims from the middle of the pack. This could be the award where people give Dua Lip the credit for her ebullient creation. But she doesn’t provide much betting value at entertainment betting sites, which is why you might want to look elsewhere.
Record of The Year Pick:
“Don’t Start Now” at -240 wins it by an eyelash.
Best Value Bet:
“Say So” gives you great payback at 12 to 1 if it hits.
Album of The Year
- Folklore by Taylor Swift: -260
- Future Nostalgia by Dua Lipa: +250
- Hollywood’s Bleeding by Post Malone: +500
- Chilombo by Jhene Aiko: +1000
- Djesse Volume 3 by Jacob Collier: +1000
- Black Pumas (Deluxe Edition) by Black Pumas: +1200
- Everyday Life by Coldplay: +1200
- Women In Music Part III by Haim: +1200
Swift went indie and got probably the best reviews of her career which is saying something. Considering how the Grammys have honored her in the past, it’s likely that they continue doing so in this one. After all, this is the award that the artists tend to covet the most.
Dua Lipa truly stepped up her game, and Post Malone took a more mainstream turn and did a nice job with it. After that, the others probably don’t stand a chance, with the possible exception of Black Pumas. The Grammys nominating committee were the only ones who knew Coldplay made a record this year, and that includes the band itself.
Song of The Year Pick:
The Swifties will be rejoicing once again so take Taylor at -260.
Best Value Bet:
Post Malone is the only one with any kind of odds value at +500 with a long shot chance.
Jim Beviglia
Jim Beviglia joined Gamblingsites.org as a staff writer in 2018, parlaying his years of freelance writing into contributions on a number of different topics. He handles the sport of horse racing for GamblingSites.org and the intersection between the worlds of cryptocurrency and online gambling in a weekly blog.
For his full-time job, Jim handles the television and track announcing duties at a h …