2021 NFL Free Agency Odds: Where Will Dak, Godwin, and Robinson End Up?

March 17^th will kick off the 2021 NFL Free Agency period and there’s going to be plenty of fireworks as numerous star players are set to become unrestricted free agents.

NFL betting sites like Bovada, MyBookie and BetOnline have picked up on what will certainly be a frenzy as they have released odds for many of the top free agents heading into the offseason.

Let’s huddle up to examine these NFL prop bets and see if we can win some money on these players who are also looking to get paid.

🚨 PFF’S TOP 150 FREE AGENTS 🚨

2. Chris Godwin

8. Lavonte David

14. Shaquil Barrett

Full list here ⬇️ https://t.co/4BNcrAirvF

— PFF (@PFF) February 9, 2021

Where Will Dak Prescott Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Dallas Cowboys (-1000)
• Washington Football Team (+800)
• New England Patriots (+1200)
• Indianapolis Colts (+1200)
• Carolina Panthers (+2500)

Dak Prescott is set to become a free agent once again. However, it’s really hard to think he will leave Dallas this offseason. The Dallas Cowboys can use the Franchise Tag for two more seasons, which will pay Dak a lot of money.

Yet, the young QB wants a long term deal especially since he’s coming off a brutal leg injury that cost him most of the 2020 season. He only played in five games, but really impressed in those games as the offense looked explosive.

For the Cowboys to even tag Prescott, they will need to redo many salaries as they don’t have enough salary cap space right now. So, they could either sign Prescott and make his contract friendly for 2021 or release and restructure players to get enough money for the franchise tag.

If for some reason Prescott left Dallas, which I doubt, his best bet would be the Patriots who need a franchise QB. Yet, the Panthers and WFT have plenty of talent on offense with a rising defense.

For this prop bet, go with Dallas. There’s no way the Cowboys let Prescott leave the team.

Where Will Allen Robinson Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Chicago Bears (+275)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+400)
• Baltimore Ravens (+750)
• Indianapolis Colts (+750)
• Miami Dolphins (+750)

Robinson is possibly the biggest free agent price this offseason. He’s a #1 receiver still in his prime and eager to get the biggest contract of his career. But, where will that be?

Robinson is coming off consecutive 1,000 yard seasons despite having no legitimate QB option in the passing game. He finished the 2020 season with 102 catches for 1,250 yards and six TDs despite the QB carousel.

Would Robinson stay in Chicago even though the team has no real direction at QB?

Right now, Robinson’s representatives have let the Bears know that he wants to be paid as a top receiver. That’s something that Chicago won’t be comfortable paying especially if the salary cap lowers for the 2021 season due to the pandemic.

What are the Bears options? Robinson’s? https://t.co/sP0GlRDCbq

— Bleacher Nation Bears (@BN_Bears) February 13, 2021

Robinson could get paid $18 to $20 million per season which is what Amari Cooper got last year. The Bears seem to be turned off by that price range. Yet, they could franchise tag Robinson for $15.8 million dollars, which is a possibility.

If Chicago let’s Robinson walk then he will definitely be pursued by many teams in need of a top receiver.

Of the teams available in this prop bet, the Dolphins and the Ravens seem like the best options. Miami does have some good young receivers, but they’re lacking a true #1. And, if they want to catch the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East then they need more playmakers for Tua to throw to.

Speaking of the Bills, the Ravens lost to Buffalo in the Divisional Round of the Playoffs where it was clear that the team needed a number one receiver for Lamar Jackson.

I really like the Ravens to be a major player in one of these free agent receivers. Out of all the available options, Robinson makes the most sense for Baltimore. He’s big, talented, a professional, and seems to embody the Ravens’ culture.

For this prop bet, take Baltimore to sign Robinson. There’s no way he goes back to his former team the Jaguars and I don’t see him taking a pay cut to stay with the Bears.

Will Tampa Bay Lose Godwin, Brown or Gronkowski?

On February 7th, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won Super Bowl 55 as they dominated the Kansas City Chiefs. Tom Brady and company made it look easy. However, their chances of repeating as Super Bowl champs are in danger due to the numerous free agents that they have.

The following are a few of their upcoming free agents on the offensive side of the ball:

Where Will Chris Godwin Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-500)
• Miami Dolphins (+500)
• New England Patriots (+500)
• New York Giants (+750)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+750)

Wherever Godwin ends up, he will get paid. Godwin is a talented receiver and on par with Robinson as the best options in this free agent crop. However, he can excel in the slot role as well, which makes him very versatile for any offense.

Godwin surpassed the 1,000 yard mark two seasons ago with 86 receptions for 1,333 yards and nine TDs earning him a Pro Bowl nod. This past season, he was injured and missed a few games, but still finished with 65 receptions for 840 yards and 7 TDs in 12 games.

At just 24 years old, Godwin is going to be heavily pursued by other teams. The Bucs are in trouble when it comes to their salary cap. Additionally, they have numerous free agents on the defensive side of the ball which I think take priority over Godwin like Shaq Barrett and Lavonte David.

Godwin is going to command at least $15 million per year and it’s hard to imagine the Bucs being able to match the offers he receives elsewhere and try to keep other players as well.

I think of the three Tampa Bay players that we’re taking a look at in this article, Godwin is the one that could leave via Free Agency.

I don’t see Godwin leaving for the Giants or Jaguars. But, he could head to the Dolphins or Patriots. Both teams would give him a chance to be the #1 receiver. Yet, New England needs to secure a QB first.

I don’t see the Dolphins landing Robinson in Free Agency, so they will turn their attention toward Godwin and throw big money at him.

Go with Miami for this prop bet as the Bucs could replace most of Godwin’s production with guys like Brown, Miller and Johnson. Plus they could get a WR like TY Hilton at a big discount because players will want a shot at a Super Bowl and to play with Brady.

Will the Bucs Bring Back Antonio Brown?

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-550)
• Green Bay Packers (+500)
• Seattle Seahawks (+600)
• Baltimore Ravens (+900)
• Philadelphia Eagles (+1500)

The Buccaneers were really the only team that was willing to give Brown a shot a returning to the NFL. The talented receiver was often in trouble the last few years and out of the league.

Yet, Brady convinced the Bucs to bring him in and Brown contributed to the team winning a Super Bowl. Brown scored a TD in the Super Bowl and did everything asked of him by the team, which is something Brady alluded to in his comments about Antonio:

“I think he made incredible strides over the last 12 months to get from where he was at to where he’s at now. Everybody is dealing with life. It’s not always the easiest thing for all of us. So you just try to provide some words of support or advice. We need to care for people more and allow people to blossom and be the best they could be. You want to ultimately see them succeed.”

I don’t see Brown leaving the Bucs. I believe he will sign a team friendly deal with bonuses that are easily achievable. Brady and Brown are a solid combination and the team will need all of the weapons they can get heading into the 2021 season.

Brown could move into the slot to replace Godwin if the 24 year old leaves as I think he will. Brady will convince both Brown and the Bucs to keep this partnership going.

Will Gronk Leave the Bucs?

• Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-650)
• Any Other Team (+375)

There’s absolutely no way that Gronkowski leaves the Buccaneers. He came back from retirement just to play with his BFF Tom Brady. And now that they won a Super Bowl together, there’s no way he’s going to stop the good times now.

Gronk was called on to block more than go out in pass routes during the regular season, and that was alright by the future HOF tight end. Yet, when the team needed his experience and physical play in the postseason, Gronk delivered.

On the biggest stage of them all, Gronk had his best game as he caught six passes for 67 yards and 2 touchdowns in the Super Bowl against the Chiefs. Gronk and Brady also set the all-time record for a duo with the most postseason TDs.

After the Super Bowl, Gronk hailed his performance as one of the best accomplishments in his career. He also praised the team for being unselfish and supportive. It was one of the most enjoyable seasons he’s ever had.

It also led Gronk to saying that he definitely sees himself coming back to Tampa Bay next season. If Gronk, Brady and the Bucs all want the TE back then there’s no way he’s going anywhere else.

Look for Gronk to sign another one year deal with the Bucs.

Where Will Kenny Golladay Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Detroit Lions (-110)
• New York Giants (+300)
• Baltimore Ravens (+300)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+950)
• Miami Dolphins (+950)

The 27 year old receiver is one of the best red zone threats and jump ball receivers in the league. In 2019, he led the league with 11 TD catches. Unfortunately, he only played in five games this past season due to injuries.

Golladay has dealt with injuries for most of his pro career. It’s the one thing that has held him back since joining the NFL. He could be a Top 7 receiver if he stays healthy.

The Lions are in rebuild mode which was evident by trading QB Matthew Stafford to the Rams for draft picks and QB Jared Goff. They will most likely lose Marvin Jones to Free Agency, so the team needs to decide what to do with Golladay.

As of this writing, there are reports coming out of Detroit that the team will use the Franchise Tag on Golladay instead of letting him go. That’s a $16 million dollar gamble because of his health.

If the Detroit Lions tag him, they could look at trading him for more picks in order to continue their rebuild.

As much as I would like to see the talented Golladay leave, as I’m sure he would love to test the market, it appears that the Lions will keep him with the franchise tag.

Where Will JuJu Smith-Schuster Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Las Vegas Raiders (+160)
• New York Jets (+325)
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+325)
• Indianapolis Colts (+650)
• Chicago Bears (+650)

For the Steelers, they are loaded at the receiver position and could let Smith-Schuster walk instead of paying him. That would net the team a 3^rd round draft pick next year for the loss. JuJu didn’t have a great year last season as his numbers were down.

With Claypool, Thompson and Washington still on the roster, I don’t see the team opening up their check book for JuJu. Keep in mind, this is the franchise that has let Plaxico Burress, Antwan Randel El, Mike Wallace, Emmanuel Sanders and Antonio Brown all leave either via Free Agency or trade.

They have constantly replaced the departed talent and I see them doing that again this offseason. With that said, the Raiders have shown the most interest in JuJu so far.

Las Vegas needs a legit #1 receiver and JuJu could provide them that. They have enough speed outside of him, but need his playmaking abilities over the middle of the field. Additionally, he would open up the field more for other weapons like tight end Waller.

JuJu will certainly gain interest from other teams, but the Raiders will probably give him the most money and the best chance at expanding his social media brand.

Where Will TY Hilton Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• Indianapolis Colts (-150)
• Jacksonville Jaguars (+600)
• New York Jets (+600)
• Green Bay Packers (+650)
• New England Patriots (+950)

For Hilton, this is his first foray into Free Agency and I see the WR taking the most money he can get, which will come elsewhere. Hilton has stated that he’s 100% focused on Free Agency, which sounds like someone looking to get paid.

Furthermore, Colts owner Jim Irsay recently said that Hilton returning to the team depends on the price tag:

“You want a guy (like Hilton) back, but it has to fit into what you view, what the marketplace dictates and what other teams and where someone’s value falls with the price tag. The biggest thing I’ve found is you want guys who really want to be here, and sometimes, if they don’t hit their price mark, you don’t want them to be resentful.”

When you look at what both sides are saying, I just don’t see them coming together to find a number that benefits both sides. At 31 years old, Hilton’s best days are behind him. He’s now a #2 wide receiver at best. So, he will most likely end up on a team where he plays second fiddle to a top receiver.

Just connected with Colts WR T.Y.Hilton, an impending UFA. “I’m 100% focused on my 1st free agency..bc I get to make that decision.” On if he wants to return to Indy, Hilton told me, “gotta work both ways.” On if he feels the #Colts want him back, he added, “yea I think they do.”

— IG: JosinaAnderson (@JosinaAnderson) February 8, 2021

Additionally, I don’t see Hilton heading to a team that’s not a championship contender. At 31 years old, he doesn’t have many years left. That should be enough motivation for TY to sign with one of the top handful of teams in the league even if it’s at a lower contract than he wants.

With that in mind, Hilton makes a lot of sense for the Packers who need another wide receiver for Aaron Rodgers that can step up and make plays not only for the offense, but to also take pressure off Adams.

I like Hilton in Green Bay as he could be a nice bridge for the Packers until they draft another wide receiver in the first two rounds.

Where Will Will Fuller Play Game 1 of 2021 NFL Season?

• New York Jets (+190)
• Miami Dolphins (+375)
• Washington Football Team (+375)
• Indianapolis Colts (+375)
• Green Bay Packers (+650)

In another move that will certainly infuriate Deshaun Watson, the Houston Texans appear to be committed to a rebuild, which means I doubt they will pay Will Fuller the same salary that other teams will offer him.

Of all the receivers on this list, Fuller is one player that I believe will go where the money takes him regardless if it’s a winning team or not. Cue the Jets for this one. They will have plenty of money and a need for a WR to take the top off a defense.

PFF Grade/Rank since 2018:

🔹 Will Fuller V – 86.9 (13th)

🔹 JuJu Smith-Schuster – 76.7 (38th)

Which free-agent WR would you rather have? 💰 ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/wsJZBKyEIN

— PFF (@PFF) February 10, 2021

However, I could see Fuller heading to WFT as they need another receiver opposite of McClaurin. Additionally, the Colts make sense too since they will lose Hilton and need some speed to replace him.

As you can see, Fuller is a wild card. I would go with the Jets for this one as they can’t miss out on all of the top receivers in Free Agency.