Saturday is an incredibly busy day on the sports schedule. We’ve got another weekend’s worth of English Premier League action to keep us occupied in the morning before college football takes over this afternoon. Later tonight, UFC takes center stage with UFC Vegas 16.
Obviously, it goes without saying that today is a great day to be a sports bettor. BetOnline is busy with a number of different odds booster options on your plate for what should be an action-packed day. Which boosters are worth your time?
UFC: Vettori, Hill, and Benitez ALL to Win (+360)
Marvin Vettori will take on Jack Hermansson in the main event of UFC Vegas 16 on Saturday night. BetOnline’s oddsmakers have installed Vettori as a -141 favorite ahead of this middleweight bout. Vettori will fight Hermansson after his originally-scheduled fight against Jacare Souza was called off.
Hermansson is 21-5 in UFC while Vettori checks-in at 15-4-1. Vettori is five years younger, and the line movement for this fight has been wild. Hermansson opened as a -155 favorite, but the line quickly shifted in the other direction when the public started to hammer Vettori at plus-money.
Your main event is OFFICIAL ⚖️
🇸🇪 @JackTheJokerMMA hits the scales at 185.5 for #UFCVegas16
[ Tomorrow | LIVE on #ESPNPlus and ESPN2 ] pic.twitter.com/8MKyYUFDMz
— UFC (@ufc) December 4, 2020
Jamahal Hill is a -175 favorite in his undercard fight vs. Ovince St. Preux. OSP is 25-14 all-time in UFC competition, while Hill is looking to improve his record to a perfect 8-0. St. Preaux is one of the longest-running fighters in this division, but he may have a hard time keeping up with the speed of Hill. St. Preux will hope to get this fight to the ground, but Hill has proven to be extremely difficult to hold down in the past.
Gabriel Benitez is the biggest favorite of all, as he’s listed at -245 on the moneyline over Justin Jaynes. Benitez was beaten by unanimous decision by Omar Morales in a lightweight bout back in May, which was a weight class above Benitez’ standard divison. He should be in for a bounce-back tonight against Jaynes, who lost to Gavin Tucker via submission in his last appearance in August. Benitez has lost his last two bouts overall, but he’s a sizable favorite here.
UFC: Jaynes by TKO/KO or DQ (+425)
Jaynes is 16-5 all-time in UFC. Exactly half of those wins have come via KO/TKO, including his two most recent victories. Jaynes got the better of James Warfield-Lane by TKO this past May before earning another TKO win over Frank Camacho at UFC on ESPN back in June.
We know Jaynes is a pretty big underdog in this one at +210 on the moneyline. Benitez has just eight losses on his UFC resume, two of which have come by knockout.
One of those was a TKO loss to Sodiq Yusuff in August of last year. His only other knockout defeat was a knockout by Andre Fili in November of 2015.
UFC: Hermansson to Win Inside Distance (+250)
Jack Hermansson enters this fight after winning his most recent matchup by submission over Kevin Gastelum this past July. The Joker has won five of his last six UFC bouts overall, with the lone defeat being a TKO loss to Jared Cannonier in the summer of last year.
Hermansson is now a +121 underdog after opening as a pretty big favorite at UFC betting sites. Just one of his last five fights have gone the distance, and four of his wins have come by submission in the very first round. However, I’m skeptical that Hermansson will actually win this fight, so betting on him doing so inside the distance is quite the risk, even with the favorable +250 odds.
NCAAF: Florida (-17.5) and Iowa State (-6.5) BOTH to Cover (+310)
Florida improved to 7-1 on the season with a 24-point thrashing of Kentucky last weekend. The Gators’ lone loss of the season was their 41-38 loss at the buzzer at Texas A&M back at the beginning of the campaign. Florida will look to get to 8-1 this afternoon on the road against Tennessee.
The Vols are just 2-5 on the year, but those two wins came in their first two games of the campaign. Tennessee is riding a five-game losing skid with losses to Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, Arkansas, and Auburn. That’s a tough schedule, of course, but the Volunteers haven’t been particularly competitive, either. Every single one of Tennessee’s losses has come by double digits. Kyle Trask and Kyle Pitts figure to have a field day in Rocky Top today.
Florida is just 4-3-1 against the spread so far in 2020, while Tennessee is an SEC-worst 1-5-1.
Excited to share both West Virginia and Iowa State fb teams passed COVID tests and we will playing @Big12Conference football on Saturday. Both WVU and ISU have been COVID clear for all 10 of their games this year – really amazing given what we were thinking back in August.
— Jamie Pollard (@IASTATEAD) December 4, 2020
Iowa State is favored by nearly a touchdown at home against West Virginia. The Cyclones have risen all the way to No. 9 in the country after last week’s 23-20 win over Texas. Iowa State does have two losses, including a disappointing season-opening loss to Louisiana, but their only other defeat was a three-point loss on the road in Stillwater to an Okie State side currently ranked No. 6 in the nation.
West Virginia is 5-3 overall this year after alternating wins and losses over their last four contests. The Mountaineers beat TCU a couple of weeks ago before last week’s scheduled game against Oklahoma was postponed. West Virginia is 6-2 against the spread so far this season, which is tied for the best mark in the Big 12. Iowa State enters the game 5-4 ATS.
NCAAF: Clemson (-21.5) and San Diego State (-7.5) BOTH to Cover (+310)
Clemson bounced back from their loss to Notre Dame with a 52-17 shellacking of Pitt last week. Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne, and co. will look to improve to 8-1 on the year this week in Blacksburg against Virginia Tech. The Hokies are 4-5 overall this season and enter this one as losers of three straight games. VaTech lost to Liberty and Miami by a combined four points before getting trounced 47-17 at Pitt a couple of weeks ago.
The Tigers are favored by over three touchdowns here, and with good reason. Virginia Tech’s defense hasn’t been nearly as stingy as it has in years past, so there is very little reason to believe the Tigers will have much trouble in this one.
San Diego State fell to 3-3 with a loss in Boulder to Colorado last time out. The Aztecs struggled to move the ball against the Buffs’ defense on their way to just 10 points, but they’re in a more favorable spot this week at home against Colorado State. The Rams are just 1-2 on the season and haven’t played since November 12 due to a number of cancellations. Colorado State lost by 31 points at Boise State in their most recent game, so there could certainly be a rust factor here after such a long layoff.
EPL: Manchester City and Manchester United BOTH to Win (+185)
Across the pond, we’ve got four Premier League games on the docket for Saturday. Both Manchester clubs will be in action. The Red Devils will look to bounce back from their midweek loss to PSG on the road against West Ham United. Man City, meanwhile, will host Fulham.
Manchester United are slight +105 moneyline favorites to pick up all three points in London on Saturday afternoon. Ole Gunnar Solksjaer’s side has had a very difficult time stringing results together so far this season. They sometimes look like they’re primed to shoot to the top of the league. A week later, United inexplicably look like a side that has never played with one another before.
Our Goal of the Month for November was cleared for launch by @B_Fernandes8 🔥#MUFC #UnitedOnTikTok pic.twitter.com/MUUjWG7nT7
— Manchester United (@ManUtd) December 4, 2020
West Ham are quietly up to fifth place in the league table after beating Aston Villa in the league last weekend. The Hammers have won three straight since a 2-1 loss to Liverpool about a month ago, so this won’t be an easy game by any means for the Red Devils. The Hammers impressively held City to a 1-1 draw back in October, while these two sides played to a 1-1 draw of their own after the restart in July.
City should have little issue at home against Fulham. Fulham did pick up a nice win earlier this week against Leicester, but City are another challenge entirely. The Citizens should be riding high after a 5-0 thumping of Burnley, but it has still been an incredibly disappointing start to the campaign.
Still, City are -840 favorites to win on Saturday with good reason. Fulham have had a difficult time generating much offense this season, so it’s tough to imagine this side mustering much of an attack against a City team that should dominate possession for 90 minutes.
EPL: Chelsea to Win AND Over 4.5 Goals (+475)
Chelsea will host Leeds United in the final Premier League game of the day. The Blues are sitting third in the table on 19 points following a scoreless draw to Tottenham last weekend. Chelsea got into the win column in Champions League by crushing Sevilla 4-0.
Leeds have been solid in their first season back in the top flight, and they’re only five points behind Chelsea in the table. Leeds topped Everton 1-0 in the league last weekend, and they have already picked up solid draws against big clubs like City and Arsenal so far in 2020.
Leeds have scored 15 goals while allowing 17 so far this season. Chelsea are tied for the league lead with 22 goals of their own, while they have allowed only 10. Only Spurs have been more solid in defense than Chelsea to this point.
What’s The Best Bet?
Both UFC bets involving underdogs winning look like easy bets to avoid today. Both Jaynes and Hermansson are plus-money dogs on the moneyline, so I’m not particularly keen on their chances of winning. Let’s go ahead and scratch both of those off the list.
I don’t doubt Chelsea will beat Leeds at home on Saturday, but the over on 4.5 goals is asking a lot.
Neither team has had much trouble finding the back of the net, but I’d pass on this one because the over is a dicey proposition. Chelsea has been a very sturdy defensive side so far this term.
San Diego State should beat a potentially rusty Colorado State team, but the Aztecs haven’t been all that impressive in their own right. I’m also a bit wary of trusting Iowa State to cover the 6.5-point spread against a West Virginia team that has been one of the best in the country in terms of covering spreads all year long. Pass on the college football bets involving Iowa State and San Diego State, as well.
That leaves two options that look pretty attackable today. The three-way UFC result with Benitez, Hill, and Vettori all winning at +360 offers attractive upside. All three fighters are minus-money favorites, so I like the value in combining their results. I also think betting on both Manchester clubs to win their respective Premier League tilts at +185 is a good bet if you’re looking for a little more safety. Manchester United is a tough team to trust, but City is a lock.
Boosted Odds Prop Bet:
Vettori, Hill, and Benitez ALL to Win (+360) OR Manchester United and Manchester City BOTH to Win (+185)
Taylor Smith
Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with GamblingSites.org since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu …