Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos Betting Preview, Odds and Prediction

On a special Saturday edition of the NFL, the Buffalo Bills travel to Denver to take on the Broncos. Denver is mathematically alive to make the Playoffs, but need four teams ahead of them to all lose.

The Bills are one win away from clinching the AFC East and can lock up a Playoff spot for the 3^rd time in the last four years.

Will Buffalo keep their intensity going after a huge win against the Steelers on Sunday Night Football or will the Broncos catch the Bills in a letdown performance? Kickoff inside Empower Field at Mile High is at 4:30PM ET.

Bills vs Broncos Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams	Spread	Money Lines	Totals
Buffalo Bills	-7 (+110)	-260	Over 50 (-110)
Denver Broncos	+7 (-130)	+225	Under 50 (-110)

Betting Data	Buffalo Bills	Denver Broncos
2020 Record	10-3	5-8
2020 Home	6-1	2-4
2020 Away	4-2	3-4
2020 ATS	8-5	8-5
2020 ATS Home	5-2	3-3
2020 ATS Away	3-3	5-2
2020 O/U	9-4	6-7
2020 O/U Home	4-3	2-4
2020 O/U Away	5-1	4-3

Bills vs Broncos NFL Game Preview

These two AFC teams have played against each other 39 total times and it’s the Bills that hold the all-time series lead with a 22-16-1 record.

Denver and Buffalo have played against each other twice in the last four years with Buffalo winning both times. Last year, Buffalo beat the Broncos 20 to 3. The Broncos are 5-1 in their last six home games against Buffalo.

• The Buffalo Bills (10-3) have won in impressive fashion the last two weeks on National TV. They just took down the Steelers on SNF and are considered the 2^nd best team in the AFC right now. This week’s matchup vs the Broncos could be a letdown performance if Buffalo doesn’t bring their intensity.
• The Denver Broncos (5-8) is 2-2 in their last four games including wins over Carolina and Miami. It’s a miracle that they’re even still in the Playoff hunt despite all of the injuries they have faced. Can Denver pull off a huge upset this weekend by beating one of the AFC’s best teams?

Head to Head Betting Trends

• Denver is 6-4 SU in last 10 games
• Buffalo is 8-2 ATS in last 10 meetings
• Over is 6-4 in last 10 matchups
• Denver is 5-1 SU in last six home meetings
• Buffalo is 6-0 ATS in last six games
• Buffalo is 4-1 SU in last five matchups

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

• 6-1 SU in last seven games
• 9-1 SU as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5pts
• 8-1 SU as the favorite this season
• 12-4 SU as road favorite of 3.5 to 7pts
• 5-0 ATS in last five games
• 6-3 ATS in last nine AFC West games
• Over is 5-1 in last six road games
• Under is 4-1 in last five AFC games

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

• 1-4 SU vs winning teams this season
• 4-5 SU in last nine AFC games
• 11-21 SU as an underdog
• 8-14 SU as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5pts
• 7-2 ATS in last nine AFC games
• 4-2 ATS in last six AFC East games
• Under is 5-2 in last seven home games
• Under is 4-1 in last five games

The spread opened with the Bills favored by five points. Since then, it went down as low as 4 points with some NFL betting sites before rising back up to Buffalo favored by 7 points. The Over/Under opened at 48 points before going up to an O/U of 50 total points.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Under 50 points (-110)

The Buffalo Bills come in on a three game winning streak, and a Hail Mary play away from winning seven in a row. They crushed the 49ers and the Steelers in consecutive weeks on National TV and have proven that they’re one of the best teams in the AFC, just behind the Chiefs.

Now, Buffalo will have to keep their intensity up as they travel to Denver to take on a team that has nothing to lose, but everything to gain.

Sliding into your DMs like… pic.twitter.com/AiLOFjl3FG

— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 14, 2020

Denver’s chances of making the Playoffs are minute, but they will still go into this Week 15 matchup trying to win and remain alive for another week.

As much as I believe Buffalo will win this game, a seven point spread is rather high for what could amount to a letdown game. Furthermore, the Broncos held the Chiefs to 22 points and only lost by six two weeks ago and then beat Carolina in Week 14. So, they do have a bit of momentum going.

I feel more confident in this game going Under 50 points than I do any other wager. Combined, these two teams average 47.4 total points with Buffalo scoring 27.6ppg and the Broncos scoring 19.8ppg. They also give up a combined 51.4 total points per game.

Over the last three weeks, Buffalo has allowed 18.6ppg since they’re defense started to get healthier. That includes only allowing 15 points to the Steelers and 17 points to the Chargers. Denver has scored 20 points or less in four of their last five games.

In the last 10 head to head meetings, these two teams have averaged 41ppg with Buffalo scoring 21.4ppg and Denver scoring 19.6ppg.

Continuing the evidence of going with the Under, the Broncos have seen the Under go 5-2 in their last seven home games and 4-1 in their last five overall games. The Under is 4-1 in Buffalo’s last five AFC games.

This week, Buffalo will put up 28 to 30 points, but I don’t see the Broncos crossing the 20 point threshold. This Bills defense is playing like they did last year when they were a Top 5 unit.

Denver averages just 226 passing ypg and 117.2 rushing ypg. Look for the Bills to stack the box and make Denver QB Drew Lock beat them with his arm. This defense will put the Denver offense in 3^rd and longs, then get after them and force the punt or a turnover.

On the other side of the field, there’s not much that Denver can do to stop the Bills’ juggernaut offense. Expect another big game from Josh Allen. Also, Denver allows 131 rushing ypg, so we could see Buffalo come in and look to run the ball with Moss and Singletary.

Bills vs Broncos Betting Recap:

• Oddsmaker: BetOnline
• Moneylines: Buffalo (-265) vs Denver (+225)
• Spread: Bills -7 (+110)
• Over/Under: 50 total points (-110)
• Prediction: Bills 27 – Denver 20