The Best Bets for Week 14 of the 2020 NFL Season

Once again, the Favorites had a rough week as they went 5-9 ATS in Week 13 and 8-6 SU. That brings their season totals to 124-63-1 SU and 81-105-2 ATS.

Home teams had a horrible showing in Week 13 as they went 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS. The two biggest losses were Seattle Seahawks against the New York Giants and the Pittsburgh Steelers against Washington. Both Seattle and Pittsburgh were sizable betting favorites at home.

For the season, Home teams are now 93-94-1 SU and 81-105-2 ATS. As you can see, the pandemic era of football has showed that there’s no such thing as home field advantage in 2020.

The Unders have now won four straight weeks in a row as they went 8-5-1 in Week 13. The Overs had a huge lead heading into mid-November, but it’s now down to a small advantage at 91-90-6.

Let’s huddle up and take a look at the best bets for Week 14 of the 2020 NFL season. Betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

Quick Recap of Week 13’s Best Bets

In Week 13, we had a solid performance going 3-1 with the following NFL wagers:

• Saints Beat Falcons By a FG
• Patriots Beat the Chargers in LA
• Chiefs Lead by More than a TD at Halftime vs Broncos
• Buffalo Beats the 49ers on MNF

The Saints went into halftime up five points on the Falcons, but managed to play to a 7-7 tie in the second half. However, they still won by five points which covered our three point prediction.

The Patriots had the most dominating performance of Week 13 as the crushed the Chargers 45-0. I thought they would win, but not like that.

I said in my preview last week for the Bills vs 49ers game that Josh Allen would be the difference maker and the reason why Buffalo wins on MNF. He balled out and crushed San Francisco.

The lone loss for Week 13 was with the Chiefs as they surprisingly struggled against the Broncos. KC won the game 22 to 16, but was down at halftime by the score of 10 to 9.

For the season, we’re now at 34-16 heading into Week 14.

Arizona Wins at New York

• Cardinals (-130)

The Giants have won four straight games including a shocking victory at Seattle in Week 13. However, where I think they will have troubles this week is with Kyler Murray and his running.

The Arizona Cardinals are in desperation mode right now, which means that Murray will have to do more for Arizona to win. They’ve dropped four of their last five games including three in a row. Right now, they’re on the outside of the Playoffs looking in.

Arizona is 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings against the Giants and 7-3 ATS during that span. More recently, they’re 4-1 SU versus the Giants and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games at the Giants.

The return of the 🐐@LarryFitzgerald x #RedSea pic.twitter.com/x8Prx50tN9

— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) December 10, 2020

The Giants are 3-7 SU as an Underdog this year. They’re also 1-7 SU as a home Underdog of 3pts or less and 3-5 SU in their last eight games during the final four weeks of the regular season.

I like Murray and the Cardinals to win this game, but it will be a tough one. I expect that Giants defense to look good once again. However, I see Murray doing more running than Russell Wilson did last week and that will open up the Cardinals offense to find more success on Sunday.

Colts Beat Raiders by a FG

• Indianapolis -2.5 (-120)

This line continues to see movement. It opened with the Indianapolis Colts favored by 2.5 points, went up to 3 points, then down to 1 point, and is now back up to 2.5 points.

Regardless of the movement, as long as it’s under 3 points in favor of Indy, I love it. I believe the Colts will go into Las Vegas and lay the smack down on the Raiders.

Indy is the better overall team and 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings against the Raiders. Furthermore, they’re 8-3 SU as the Favorite and 3-0 SU as a road Favorite of 3pts or less.

Indy has a stout defense that will give the Raiders troubles. Additionally, the Raiders give up 264 passing yards per game while the Colts average 273.3 passing yards per game. I see Indy having a lot of success throwing the ball on Sunday especially with their play action passing attack.

Lastly, after the Raiders needed a last second miracle to beat the Jets in Week 13, which resulted in New York’s defensive coordinator Greg Williams getting fired the next day, I just don’t see how Las Vegas will beat the Colts on Sunday.

Chiefs Lead by a TD at Halftime Over Dolphins

• Kansas City -4 (-107)

Ok, I am going to try this again. Last week, the Kansas City Chiefs burned me by not covering their halftime spread. This week, I think they have a good chance to lead the Dolphins by a touchdown or more at halftime.

Miami has been a pleasant surprise in 2020, but they haven’t faced a team like the Chiefs since playing against Buffalo in Week 2. They lost that game 31-28, but Buffalo was up by double digit points at the half.

I see the Chiefs getting off to a fast start in this contest and leading by more than a touchdown. Miami has a solid defense, but they won’t be able to stop the Chiefs. And, their offense won’t be able to keep up with KC on the scoreboard.

Miami only allows 17.7ppg, but the Chiefs score 30.8ppg. The last time these two teams played, KC won 29 to 13.

Ravens Beat the Browns on MNF

• Baltimore -1 (-116)

The battle of “the old vs the new” Browns will play out on Monday Night Football in Week 14. Furthermore, it will have Playoff implications as the Browns are chasing after the Steelers for the division’s top seed, while the Baltimore Ravens are trying to get the final Wild Card spot.

These two teams played in Week 1 and the Ravens embarrassed the Browns 38 to 6. Baltimore is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings between these two teams. Furthermore, the Ravens are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against the Browns.

Ravens are road favorites vs. Browns in ‘Monday Night Football’ matchup, but it’s close https://t.co/EKptskNaZe

— Baltimore Sun Sports (@BaltSunSports) December 10, 2020

I don’t see anything changing in this rivalry for Week 14. In fact, I believe the Ravens will pick up a big win on MNF, which puts them one step closer to securing a Wild Card spot.

These two teams are the top ranked rushing offenses in the NFL with the Ravens averaging 169 ypg and the Browns averaging 157.8 ypg. I see both offenses succeeding on the ground this week as well.

The difference in this game will be in the play of the quarterbacks. And, as of now, my money is on Lamar Jackson to outplay Baker Mayfield and lead the Ravens to victory.