TNF Betting Preview: Packers vs 49ers Odds and Pick

Week 9 starts off with a Thursday Night Football game featuring the Green Bay Packers traveling to the Bay Area to take on the injury riddled San Francisco 49ers.

Both teams are coming off bitter divisional losses, but the 49ers also suffered more injuries that will definitely hinder their success in the second half of the season.

Can the 49ers stay competitive or will the Packers get revenge for the NFC Championship loss and pummel San Francisco on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff inside Levis Stadium is at 8:20PM ET.

Packers vs 49ers Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Packers vs 49ers TNF Game Preview

These two NFC franchises have played against each other 69 times including eight postseason games. The Packers lead the all-time series with a 36-32-1 record. The 49ers have won two in a row and six of the last eight including both of last season’s matchups.

• The San Francisco 49ers (4-4) didn’t just suffer a defeat to the Seahawks, but they also lost two of their top offensive starters as QB Jimmy Garoppolo and TE George Kittle are effectively out for the rest of the season. With so many injuries on both sides of the ball, it’s a miracle that the 49ers are 4-4 on the year.
• The Green Bay Packers (5-2) took their game against Minnesota for granted and ended up losing a contest that they were supposed to win. Although they’re still sitting at the top of the NFC North, Green Bay’s run defense was greatly exposed. Can the Packers rebound on Thursday Night Football?

Head to Head Betting Trends

• 49ers are 6-4 SU in last 10 games
• 49ers are 6-2-2 ATS in last 10 meetings
• The Over is 7-3 in last 10 matchups
• 49ers are 4-1 ATS in last five home meetings

Green Bay Packers Betting Trends

• 11-3 SU in last 14 overall games
• 6-2 SU in last eight road games
• 4-2 SU in last six NFC games
• 5-2 ATS in last seven overall games
• 8-4 ATS where line is +3 to -3
• Over is 6-3 in last nine overall games
• Over is 6-2 in last eight NFC games

San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends

• 4-12 SU in last 16 November games
• 14-5 SU in last 19 NFC games
• 8-12 SU as an Underdog
• 1-3 SU at home this season
• 4-1 ATS in last five NFC North games
• Under is 4-2 in last six homes games

The spread started out as Even before rising up to 5.5 points in favor of the Packers. It has since come down to four points in favor of Green Bay with many NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 51 points and has settled at 51.5 total points with most online betting sites.

Free TNF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Packers -4 (-110)

I’m really surprised that this spread is so low. Anything under 7 points in favor of the Packers is a line to jump on as I don’t see how the 49ers will be able to compete this week against a better team in Green Bay.

Losing Garoppolo is a blow to the offense, but not nearly as big of a loss as TE George Kittle. Backup QB Nick Mullens will do a serviceable job. But, who will he throw to? Other than Brandon Aiyuk, the 49ers lack receiving weapons with Deebo Samuel also on IR.

Defensively, the 49ers have lost so many starters that it’s rather impressive how they continue to remain competitive against high scoring teams like the Rams and Seahawks. With that said, I believe that run comes to an end this week.

Without Kittle, Samuel and Garoppolo, the Packers will stack the box against the 49ers and force Mullens to throw the ball. If the 49ers can’t successfully run the ball then they become one dimensional and their play action passing attack also becomes null and void.

The Packers offense had a bit of a down game against the Vikings last week, but I expect that to improve this week. They’re averaging 31.3ppg and over 407 total ypg. The 49ers defense is good against the pass, but if they can’t get pressure on Rodgers then they will get carved up just like last weekend against Seattle.

I think we’re going to see an outcome similar to last week’s matchup between the Seahawks and the 49ers where Seattle won by 10. I can see the Packers winning by 10 or more this week despite it being a short week and having to travel to the West Coast.

Green Bay’s offense is too good for San Francisco’s offense to keep up the scoring pace. Last week Seattle’s Russell Wilson and DK Metcalf torched the 49ers defense. This week, I see Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams doing the same.

The Packers also have an added motivation as they want revenge for their embarrassing loss to the 49ers in the NFC Championship game earlier this year.

Aaron Jones should return for Green Bay and I expect this offense to be firing on all cylinders as they beat the 49ers 31 to 20.

Keep an eye on Green Bay’s covid situation as three players are out due to RB A.J. Dillon testing positive and two other players having close contact including backup RB Williams. So, Jones will definitely give it a go this week.

Packers vs 49ers Betting Recap:

• Oddsmaker: BetOnline
• Moneylines: Packers (-210) vs 49ers (+180)
• Spread: Packers -4 (-110)
• Over/Under: 51.5 total points (-110)
• Prediction: Packers 31 – 49ers 20