BetOnline Odds Boosts for Saturday, November 14

It’s Saturday, which means we’ve got a slate full of college football alongside yet another UFC event. UFC Fight Night 182 takes priority when it comes to BetOnline’s odds boosters today, with three different options on the board.

Which boosters are worth your wager? Let’s take a look.

UFC: Dos Anjos, Alhassan, and Marquez ALL to Win (+240)

Rafael Dos Anjos will take on Paul Felder in the main event of UFC Fight Night. Dos Anjos is sporting a 29-13-0 record in UFC to this point, while Felder sits at 17-5-0. Dos Anjos checks in as a sizable -190 favorite here despite entering the right in very questionable form. Dos Anjos has lost four of his last five fights, including a loss by decision to Michael Chiesa back in January.

Felder also comes into this fight following a loss by split decision to Dan Hooker in February. He has won five of his last seven bouts overall, however.

Paul Felder steps in on short notice, will fight Rafael dos Anjos on Saturday https://t.co/xidEmbdbVi

— Marc Raimondi (@marc_raimondi) November 9, 2020

Abdul Razak Alhassan will take on Khaos Williams as a -240 favorite in an undercard bout. Alhassan was beaten in his last appearance by Mounir Lazzez by decision in July of this year, a loss that snapped a three-right winning streak. Williams has won each of his last seven appearances, but he hasn’t yet taken on a fighter of Alhassan’s caliber.

Julian Marquez checks in at -281 to beat Saparbeg Safarov in another undercard event. Marquez is 7-2-0 all-time in UFC, but rust could be a factor here. Marquez hasn’t been in the octagon in over two years.

UFC: Marquez to Win In Round 1 (+215)

Marquez’ UFC career was put into question by a shoulder injury he suffered back in July of 2018 in a fight against Alessio Di Chirico. The injury kept him out of competition for over two years, so he’s something of a wild card coming into this one.

Marquez says he feels “amazing,” and we’ll see whether that long layoff winds up helping him on Saturday. Safarov, 34, is 9-3 all-time in UFC, with all three defeats coming in his last four appearances. He took a loss by submission at the hands of Rodolfo Vieira the last time we saw him compete in March of this year.

Two of Safarov’s three UFC losses have come in the first round.

UFC: Dos Anjos to Win by TKO/KO or DQ (+450)

Five of Dos Anjos’ 29 UFC wins have come via TKO or KO, with 10 coming via submission and 14 by decision. He hasn’t picked up a TKO or KO victory since beating Cowboy Cerrone by TKO in December of 2015, so it’s been quite a while since we’ve seen that happen.

Paul Felder taking a five round fight, on five days notice, at 155lbs against the former lightweight champion in RDA, is as gangster as it gets.

The UFC.

The best.

— Adam Catterall (@AdamCatterall) November 9, 2020

Felder has just one loss on his track record by TKO or KO, as well. That came back in 2016 when a doctor stoppage resulted in his loss to Francisco Trinaldo.

Based on the histories of both fighters and their different fighting styles, either of them winning by TKO or KO in Saturday’s main event seems fairly unlikely.

What’s The Best Bet?

Dos Anjos isn’t a guy racking up TKOs and KOs at this stage of his career, so his odds of beating Felder via either method on Saturday look pretty slim. There’s obvious upside there at +450, but I’d pass.

I also think Marquez is too big of an unknown to be expecting a first-round win in his first UFC appearance in nearly two-and-a-half years. While he’s an understandable favorite to beat Safarov, it would be quite a surprise if he returned to the octagon and came away with an immediate victory.

By process of elimination, the first booster here looks like the best option. Getting Dos Anjos, Alhassan, and Marquez all to win at +240 is quite a value. All three fighters are fairly heavy favorites individually, so combining them to win at +240 really stands out. That is easily the best odds booster on the board today.