Best 2021 Super Bowl Prop Bets

With most Super Bowl betting sites offering over 200 different prop bets to wager on, it can be difficult trying to figure out which ones are the best to put your money on.

Fortunately, you have come to the right place as we’ve already examined all of the SB 55 prop bets available, like Tom Brady making pre-snap reads against an opposing defense.

The following is our list of the best 2021 Super Bowl prop bets for you to consider wagering on:

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards

• Mahomes Passing Yards Super Bowl LV (-200)
• Mahomes Passing Yards Super Bowl LIV (+150)

This Super Bowl 55 QB prop bet is asking you to decide on whether or not Patrick Mahomes will throw for more yards in Super Bowl 55 than he did in SB 54.

Last year, Mahomes had a rough first half, but came on strong in the second half of the Super Bowl and led the Chiefs to a come from behind victory over the 49ers.

One year ago today, Mahomes called for Wasp 🔥 @PatrickMahomes @cheetah @Chiefs

(via @NFLFilms) pic.twitter.com/05oGavdr0f

— The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) February 2, 2021

Mahomes finished the game going 26-for-42 with 286 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs. It was not a perfect performance by Mahomes, but it was good enough to win the game and the MVP.

For the 2020 regular season, Mahomes finished with 4,740 passing yards in 15 games, which was an average of 316 passing yards per game.

In the Week 12 matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Mahomes threw for 462 yards and 3 TDs. I expect Mahomes to surpass 300 yards against Tampa Bay which means he will surpass his passing yards total from SB 54.

Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Attempts

• Over 41½ Attempts (-125)
• Under 41½ Attempts (-105)

Not only do I believe that Mahomes will have over 300 passing yards, as mentioned in the prop bet above, but I’m also confident that he will throw at least 42 times in Super Bowl 55.

For the season, Mahomes finished with 588 passing attempts in 15 games. That’s an average of 39.2 attempts per game. However, he did go Over 41 attempts in nine of those 15 regular season contests.

Mahomes’ top mark for the season was 49 pass attempts which came against the Buccaneers in Week 12.

In the two Playoff games this postseason, which was roughly 6 ½ quarters since he got hurt against the Browns, Mahomes averaged 34 attempts per game.

In Super Bowl 54, Mahomes threw the ball 42 times. I expect him to surpass that mark against the Buccaneers as they will shut down the Chiefs running game and force the team to go on long drive in order to score a touchdown. That means more throws for Mahomes.

Tom Brady Total Passing Attempts

• Over 39½ Attempts (-125)
• Under 39½ Attempts (-105)

Tom Brady wrapped up the 2020 regular season with 610 pass attempts through 16 games. That’s an average of 38.1 attempts per game. In his three Playoff games, Brady averaged 36.3 attempts per game.

It should be noted that Brady threw 41 times against the Kansas City Chiefs in their Week 12 matchup. Furthermore, Brady’s career Super Bowl stats include 392 pass attempts for an average of 43.5 attempts per game.

I like the value with the Over option as well.

Super Bowl MVP Winning Position

• QB (-350)
• WR (+375)
• TE (+800)
• Any Defensive Position (+900)
• RB (+900)
• K (+6600)

This prop bet might not have the value as other props in this article, but it’s practically a lock that the Super Bowl 55 MVP will be a quarterback.

Only five times has the Super Bowl winner has come back from a 10+ point deficit

Patrick Mahomes & Tom Brady are responsible for three of those comebacks pic.twitter.com/a6PDbrRWIx

— PFF (@PFF) February 3, 2021

In the 54 previous Super Bowls, quarterbacks have won the MVP award 30 times including seven of the last 10 big games.

Furthermore, both teams are led by their quarterbacks in Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady. Not to mention, Brady has four Super Bowl MVPs on his resume and Mahomes won the MVP award last year in SB 54.

I have no doubt that Brady or Mahomes will win the SB 55 MVP award, which means go with the QB option.

Will the Team That Wins the Coin Toss Also Win the Game?

• No (-105)
• Yes (-105)

Of all the coin toss prop bets available for Super Bowl 55, this is the one Heads or Tails prop bet that has a clear cut answer.

In 11 of the last 15 Super Bowls, including six straight NFL championship games, the team that lost the coin toss has gone on to win the game. That’s a 55% winning percentage for the team that loses the coin toss.

Not since 2014 has the team that won the coin toss, go on to win the Super Bowl. That was the Seattle Seahawks over the Denver Broncos.

It’s clear, take the “No” option!

Total Rushing Yards in the Game by Kansas City

• Under 92½ Rushing Yards (-130)
• Over 92½ Rushing Yards (+100)

The Chiefs are a prolific offense with most of their production coming via the pass. However, they did rush for 1799 yards this season, which is an average of 112 yards per game.

“I think the most underrated part of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers run to the Super Bowl has been their defense.”@ClayTravis on who deserves the most credit on the Bucs: pic.twitter.com/lWfVG0qGRF

— FOX Bet Live (@FOXBetLive) January 28, 2021

In the Playoffs, the Chiefs averaged 118.5 rushing yards in their two post season games.

However, they’re now going up against the #1 rush defense all season long. Tampa Bay only allowed 80 rushing yards per game in the regular season and 85.7 ypg in the Playoffs.

In the Week 12 matchup between these two teams, the Chiefs had just 87 yards rushing. With the line set at 92.5 by Super Bowl betting sites, I’d recommending going with the under as Tampa Bay will stop the Chiefs rushing attack and hold them to 85 yards at the most.

Will Tampa Bay Have a Rushing Touchdown?

• Yes (-200)
• No (+160)

Tampa Bay finished the regular season with 16 rushing touchdowns, which is an average of 1 rushing TD per game. The Bucs continued that average throughout the Playoffs as they scored at least one rushing TD each game during the postseason.

For Tampa to have a realistic shot at winning Super Bowl 55, they will need to establish the run in order to have success with their play action pass and to keep the Chiefs’ offense on the sideline.

The Chiefs finished 21st this season against the run as they allowed 122.1 rushing yards per game. They also gave up 112 rushing yards and a TD to the Browns in the AFC Divisional Round.

Although the Bucs didn’t have a rushing TD in their Week 12 matchup versus KC, I expect Tampa Bay to score at least one rushing touchdown in the Super Bowl.