Best Player Props for the 2021 Super Bowl

One of the best type of football bets available for the Super Bowl is the player prop bet. This type of wager requires you to bet on an accomplishment or in-game occurrence by a specific player that takes place during the big game.

It’s an exciting way to bet on the Super Bowl and a great opportunity to make some money. With that in mind, online sports betting sites have unleashed dozens of player props for the championship game and it can be difficult finding the optimal ones to bet on.

Fortunately, we’ve made things easier for you with our list of the best player prop bets for Super Bowl 55. But if you’re looking for player props for a specific team in the Super Bowl, check out the pages linked below.

Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Attempts

• Over 41.5 Attempts (-125)
• Under 41.5 Attempts (-105)

There’s no better place to start our best player props list than with the NFL’s best player Patrick Mahomes. And, the first prop to consider is how many pass attempts that Patrick Mahomes will have in the Super Bowl.

On the season Mahomes had 588 pass attempts, which breaks down to an average of 39.2 attempts per game. However, he went Over 41.5 attempts in nine of his 15 games.

The most attempts he had in a game this season was 49. That came against the Buccaneers in Week 12.

In the Playoffs, Mahomes had 30 attempts against the Browns before getting hurt. He followed up with 38 attempts against the Bills in the AFC Championship game.

Because the Bucs have the best rush defense, the Chiefs are going to have to throw the ball more. I see Mahomes going Over the 41.5 attempts mark as this game could also end up being a shootout.

Not to mention, the Bucs will most likely try to make the Chiefs dink and dunk down the field.

Patrick Mahomes Total TD Passes

• 4 or more (+225)
• 2 (+230)
• 3 (+230)
• 1 (+400)
• 0 (+1000)

Mahomes threw 38 TD passes in 15 games, which is an average of 2.6 TDs per game. There were only two games this season where he only threw for 1 TD. Mahomes threw for 3 or more TDs in six of 15 regular season games.

In the Playoffs, Mahomes threw for 1 TD against the Browns and 3 TDs against the Bills.

When Playing the Buccaneers in Week 12 of the regular season, Mahomes threw for 3 TDs.

In the Super Bowl, Mahomes and the Chiefs will need to put up at least 30 points. The only question you have to answer is whether or not the Chiefs will get a rushing TD. Odds are against that happening.

For this Super Bowl 55 prop bet, go with 4 or more TDs for Mahomes. The Chiefs will need to score through the air as Tampa’s rush defense is just too good to run on.

Will Patrick Mahomes Score a Rushing TD

• No (-400)
• Yes (+300)

Mahomes only had 2 rushing TDs in the regular season. However, he did have 1 rushing TD in the Playoffs and that was against the Browns.

In Super Bowl 54, Mahomes also had a rushing TD. However, those defenses weren’t the Bucs.

This time next week ⌛️@PatrickMahomes is back on the game’s biggest stage chasing his second ring‼️ pic.twitter.com/ZhQVuRFw6n

— Texas Tech Football (@TexasTechFB) January 31, 2021

Mahomes is certainly capable of rushing for a TD, but I don’t see it happening. Tampa does a great job at shutting down the run lanes and preventing any success on the ground as they allowed just over 80 rushing ypg in the regular season and only 85 rushing ypg in the Playoffs.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire Distance of 1st Rush

• Under 3.5 Yds (-150)
• Over 3.5 Yds (+120)

The rookie running back started off the season red hot, but things cooled down for Edwards-Helaire late in the season especially after suffering a leg injury in week 16.

He missed the Divisional Round of the Playoffs due to the injury, but returned in time to play in the AFC title game. However, he only had seven yards on six rushing attempts.

On the season, the rookie averaged 4.4 yards per carry as he finished with 803 yards on 181 rushing attempts. Against the Buccaneers in Week 12, Helaire had 37 rushing yards on 11 attempts which is a 3.4 ypc.

Go with the Under 3.5 yards on Helaire’s first rushing attempt for this game. I don’t even see him averaging 3.5 yards per carry for the game.

Which Chiefs Player Gets 1st Reception in the Game

• Travis Kelce (+250)
• Tyreek Hill (+250)
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+500)
• Sammy Watkins (+500)
• Darrel Williams (+650)
• Mecole Hardman (+750)
• Byron Pringle (+900)
• Demarcus Robinson (+1200)

This will be a tricky one, but still intriguing. The Chiefs have so many passing weapons that it’s really anyone’s guess as to who gets the ball first.

I doubt they will try to run the ball right away, so I would expect the Chiefs to try to throw a quick pass and get some momentum. Look for the Bucs to double team Tyreek Hill and to smother Travis Kelce.

With that said, I see a pass attempt going to Mecole Hardman or Sammy Watkins first.

Hardman had six receptions in the Playoffs and 1 TD. He also finished the regular season with 41 receptions.

Watkins didn’t play in the postseason as he was dealing with an injury. He was also hampered throughout the regular season as well. Watkins finished with 37 receptions. Against the Bucs in Week 12, he had 4 receptions for 38 yards.

Watkins provides the Chiefs with a reliable passing option underneath and across the middle of the field. I think Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to get Watkins going early, which could soften the Bucs defense for big plays later in the game with Hill and Kelce.

Tom Brady Total Rushing Attempts

• Under 1.5 Attempts (-130)
• Over 1.5 Attempts (+100)

If Tom Brady is rushing two times or more in this game then the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in trouble. On the season, Brady rushed 30 times for six yards and 3 TDs.

In the Playoffs, Brady rushed nine times for -1 yard and 1 TD. He had five rushing attempts against the Saints that went for 2 yards and 1 TD.

Typically, he only rushes on short yardage and the goal line where the team needs less than a yard. I don’t see that happening much this weekend. Go with the Under 1.5 attempts for this prop bet.

Tom Brady Total TD Passes

• 2 (+175)
• 3 (+275)
• 1 (+300)
• 4 or more (+375)
• 0 (+800)

For the season, Brady finished with 40 TD passes in 16 games, which is an average of 2.5 TDs per game. Against the Chiefs, Brady had 3 TD passes in Week 12.

For the Playoffs, Brady has already thrown 7 TDs. He threw for 3 TDs against the Packers in the NFC Championship game.

Tom Brady red-zone stats:

🔺36 TDs

🔺0 INTs pic.twitter.com/ZTWsYXDtro

— PFF (@PFF) January 30, 2021

In his career, Brady has thrown 80 TDs in the Playoffs and 18 TDs in the Super Bowl. For the Bucs to have any hope of beating the Chiefs, Brady will need to throw at least 3 TDs. At +275 odds, that’s the wager that provides the best value.

Will Tom Brady Score a Rushing TD

• No (-600)
• Yes (+425)

As mentioned, Brady has four rushing TDs in 19 games this season which includes one in the Playoffs. If the Bucs can get near the goal line then you can bet Brady will try to sneak it in. With that said, it’s hard to see that scenario happening.

As much as I would like to take the “Yes” option, the safe play is with the “No” option. More than likely, this game will be a shootout which means the TDs will come from further out than the one yard line.

Ronald Jones II Distance of 1st Rush Attempt

• Under 3.5 Yds (-140)
• Over 3.5 Yds (+110)

Ronald Jones finished the regular season with 978 yards on 192 attempts, which is a 5.1 ypc average. That was the 8th best average in the NFL this season.

Against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 12, Jones had 66 yards on 9 attempts which is an average of 7.3 ypc. That was his second best mark of the season.

In the Playoffs, Jones has 78 yards on 23 attempts which is 3.4 ypc. I believe Jones will push the pile on his first rushing attempt and get at least four yards. He will be energized and so will the entire Bucs offensive line. I like the value with the Over in this prop bet.

Chris Godwin Distance of 1st Reception

• Under 10.5 Yds (-130)
• Over 10.5 Yds (+100)

As a fellow Penn State Nittany Lion, I am a fan of Chris Godwin. He’s a talented player that doesn’t need to be obnoxious when finding success on the field.

Godwin missed a few games this year due to injuries. That prevented him from another 1,000 yard season. However, he still finished with 840 yards on 65 receptions which breaks down to an average of 12.9 yards per catch.

Against the Chiefs in Week 12, Godwin tallied 97 yards on 8 catches which was an average of 12.1 yards per catch. In the Playoffs, Godwin is averaging 15.9 yards per reception with 14 catches for 223 yards and 1 TD.

Although Godwin has the numbers to go with the Over, I like the Under in this prop bet. I see Brady hitting Godwin on a quick slant or a quick out to move the chains or get some yards on an early passing down. Godwin will get the bigger plays later in the game.

Leonard Fournette Distance of 1st Reception

• Over 4.5 Yds (-130)
• Under 4.5 Yds (+100)

Fournette ended up becoming Tampa’s passing down running back and did a solid job of that throughout the season. He finished the regular season with 36 receptions for 233 yards and an average of 6.5 yards per reception.

In the Playoffs, Fournette has 14 receptions for 102 yards and an average of 7.3 yards per catch. That’s .8 ypc more than his regular season average.

There’s no doubt that Brady will look to dump it off to Fournette. The only question is whether or not Fournette will get 5 yards on his first catch.

The odds favor the Over here and I tend to agree. I think Fournette’s ability to break tackles and avoid defenders will turn a dump off into at least a five yard gain on his first catch.

Which Buccaneer Gets 1st Reception in the Game

• Chris Godwin (+300)
• Mike Evans (+300)
• Leonard Fournette (+400)
• Antonio Brown (+600)
• Cameron Brate (+700)
• Rob Gronkowski (+700)
• Scotty Miller (+900)
• Ronald Jones (+1200)
• Tyler Johnson (+1400)

Just like we did with the Chiefs, we will now look at which Buccaneer player will get the first reception of the game.

Expect the Chiefs to guard Mike Evans with their top corner. I don’t see Brown in the game when the Bucs throw their first pass as it will probably come out of a more traditional run formation.

With that said, I like Chris Godwin or Rob Gronkowski for this bet. I see Gronk having a strong game against the Chiefs as he will be Brady’s most reliable target due to his size and Super Bowl experience.

But, I feel more confident in Godwin getting the first catch as he works underneath and over the middle. Brady will need to get the ball out quick if the Chiefs are blitzing. That means a quick look to the slant which is most often Godwin’s route.