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How the Martingale Could Force You to Bet $1 Billion

how-the-martingale-could-force-you-to-bet-$1-billion

The Martingale system is definitely one of the most popular betting systems. It offers a combination of simplicity and effectiveness that makes it perfect for both beginning and experienced gamblers.

For all of its effectiveness, though, the Martingale has a dark side. It’s the riskiest out of the popular staking systems. Assuming you suffered a bad enough losing streak with this strategy, you could theoretically be forced to bet over $1 billion!

If you’re like me, you don’t even have $1 million to slap down on a gambling table, let alone $1 billion! The point of this post, though, is to address how absurd Martingale losses can be.

With that said, you can keep reading to find out more about this system, why it’s so widely used, and how it can lead to detrimental losses.

How Does the Martingale Work?

The Martingale betting system can be explained in three simple steps:

  1. You begin by placing an even money bet at the table’s minimum wager.
  2. You double bets following any loss.
  3. After any win, you revert back to the table’s minimum stake.

Beginning with the first point, you want to assume the lowest possible risk while still being able to win losses back after losing streaks. Even money bets, which are found in baccarat, blackjack, craps, and roulette, give you this opportunity.

Placing the minimum wager is another move to mitigate risk. The smallest bet lowers the chances of hitting the table’s maximum wager and/or losing all of your money.

The key feature to this system involves doubling bets following losses. You continue in this fashion until booking a win. At this point, you’ll have won all of your money back—plus a small profit—and return to the minimum stake.

Why Is the Martingale Popular?

Countless gamblers have used the Martingale system at some point in time. Here are the three main reasons why people keep employing this betting strategy.

Wins Losses Back

Everybody likes to walk out of the casino a winner. The Martingale does a great job of ensuring that this happens. It allows you to chase losses in an effective manner and win everything back with a single bet.

Here’s an example on how the Martingale can be effective:

  • Bet $10 and lose; losses at $10.
  • Bet $20 and lose; losses at $30.
  • Bet $40 and lose; losses at $70.
  • Bet $80 and win; winnings at $10.

In most cases, you’ll earn losses back in three to four wagers or less. You’ll also collect plenty of small profits at the end of sequences.

Usually Works

Every gambling system works to some degree. The Martingale, however, is especially potent at helping you win money.

It allows you to book profits even when losing far more wagers than you’re winning. The result is that you’ll have lots of successful sessions with this betting strategy.

Here’s an example to show the Martingale’s effectiveness:

  • Bet $1 and lose; losses at $1.
  • Bet $2 and lose; losses at $3.
  • Bet $4 and lose; losses at $7.
  • Bet $8 and win; winnings at $1.
  • Bet $1 and lose; even.
  • Bet $2 and lose; losses at $2.
  • Bet $4 and win; winnings at $2.
  • Bet $1 and win; winnings at $3.
  • Bet $1 and lose; winnings at $2.
  • Bet $2 and win; winnings at $4.

You’ve only won four wagers within this 10-bet frame. Nevertheless, you’re still up $4 thanks to this system.

Easy to Use

Some betting systems are fairly complicated to use. They involve elaborate means of increasing bets during either winning or losing streaks.

The Martingale, though, doesn’t present the same problem. Instead, it’s so easy to use that even a beginner can quickly get started with it.

All you must do is start out by placing an even money wager at the minimum stake. You then double bets following any loss until winning and, subsequently, regaining your losses.

How This Betting System Could Force You to Wager $1 Billion

So far, I’ve only covered the upside to using the Martingale. However, this system also comes with a serious drawback.

If no betting limits are present, you could theoretically lose an infinite amount of money. In such cases, you could be forced to bet up to $1 billion or more.

Of course, the chances of hitting such a losing streak are extremely low. But the chance does exist, nonetheless.

Here’s how many times you need to lose when placing the craps pass line bet (50.71% chance of losing) before being forced to wager over $1 billion.

  • Bet $5 and lose; losses at $5 – 1 in 1.97 odds of losing this many bets
  • Bet $10 and lose; losses at $15 – 1 in 2.89 odds of losing this many bets
  • Bet $20 and lose; losses at $35 – 1 in 6.67 odds of losing this many bets
  • Bet $40 and lose; losses at $75 – 1 in 14.13 odds of losing
  • Bet $80 and lose; losses at $155 – 1 in 28.85 odds of losing
  • Bet $160 and lose; losses at $315 – 1 in 57.82 odds of losing
  • Bet $320 and lose; losses at $635 – 1 in 115.3 odds of losing
  • Bet $640 and lose; losses at $1,275 – 1 in 227.8 odds of losing
  • Bet $1,280 and lose; losses at $2,555 – 1 in 453.6 odds of losing
  • Bet $2,560 and lose; losses at $5,115 – 1 in 908.1 odds of losing
  • Bet $5,120 and lose; losses at $10,235 – 1 in 1,753 odds of losing
  • Bet $10,240 and lose; losses at $20,475 – 1 in 3,447odds of losing
  • Bet $20,480 and lose; losses at $40,955 – 1 in 6,667 odds of losing
  • Bet $40,960 and lose; losses at $81,915 – 1 in 13,512 odds of losing
  • Bet $81,920 and lose; losses at $163,835 – 1 in 26,314 odds of losing
  • Bet $163,840 and lose; losses at $327,675 – 1 in 52,630 odds of losing
  • Bet $327,680 and lose; losses at $655,355 – 1 in 103,091 odds of losing
  • Bet $655,360 and lose; losses at $1,310,715 – 1 in 204,080 odds of losing
  • Bet $1,310,720 and lose; losses at $2,621,435 – 1 in 399,999 odds of losing
  • Bet $2,621,440 and lose; losses at $5,242,875 – 1 in 769,229 odds of losing
  • Bet $5,242,880 and lose; losses at $10,485,755 – 1 in 1,562,499 odds of losing
  • Bet $10,485,760 and lose; losses at $20,971,515 – 1 in 3,030,302 odds of losing
  • Bet $20,971,520 and lose; losses at $41,943,035 – 1 in 6,060,605 odds of losing
  • Bet $41,943,040 and lose; losses at $83,886,075 – 1 in 11,904,760 odds of losing
  • Bet $83,886,080 and lose; losses at $167,772,155 – 1 in 23,584,904 odds of losing
  • Bet $167,772,160 and lose; losses at $335,544,315 – 1 in 46,511,626 odds of losing
  • Bet $335,544,320 and lose; losses at $671,088,635 – 1 in 91,743,118 odds of losing
  • Bet $671,088,640 and lose; losses at $1,342,177,275 – 1 in 181,159,419 odds of losing
  • The 29th bet will be worth $1,342,177,280.

Tables Have Betting Limits

You might be able to find a major Las Vegas casino that’s willing to let you play with no limits involved. In normal cases, though, casino games have betting limits.

Most tables in land-based and online casinos set the maximum wager at $500. Here’s how many times you could lose before no longer being able to double down:

  • Betting limit is $500
  • Bet $5 and lose (1st loss).
  • Bet $10 and lose (2nd loss).
  • Bet $20 and lose (3rd loss).
  • Bet $40 and lose (4th loss).
  • Bet $80 and lose (5th loss).
  • Bet $160 and lose (6th loss).
  • Bet $320 and lose (7th loss).
  • Next wager should be $640.

High-limit tables may allow you to wager up to $10,000 or more. Of course, you also have to place a larger minimum bet.

Here’s how much many wagers you could lose before hitting the table’s maximum on a high-limit table:

  • Betting limit is $10,000
  • Bet $50 and lose (1st loss).
  • Bet $100 and lose (2nd loss).
  • Bet $200 and lose (3rd loss).
  • Bet $400 and lose (4th loss).
  • Bet $800 and lose (5th loss).
  • Bet $1,600 and lose (6th loss).
  • Bet $3,200 and lose (7th loss).
  • Bet $6,400 and lose (8th loss).
  • Next wager should be $12,800

Why Do People Still Use the Martingale?

This betting system presents two potential problems:

  1. It can lead to massive losses.
  2. You might hit the table’s betting limit, at which point, you’re guaranteed losses.

As covered before, you’ll win lots of sessions with this betting strategy. However, you also take on more risk with this system than any other.

With that said, you might wonder why people even use the Martingale to begin with. Everything goes back to how effective this system can be.

You should win profits in the majority of sessions, especially if they’re short. You can also boost your chances of winning money by finding the lowest-possible minimum wager.

The top online casinos allow you to play for just $1 per hand. This starting point provides more cushion before hitting the table limit.

Here’s how this scenario plays out online:

  • Bet $1 and lose (1st loss).
  • Bet $2 and lose (2nd loss).
  • Bet $4 and lose (3rd loss).
  • Bet $8 and lose (4th loss).
  • Bet $16 and lose (5th loss).
  • Bet $32 and lose (6th loss).
  • Bet $64 and lose (7th loss).
  • Bet $128 and lose (8th loss).
  • Bet $256 and lose (9th loss).
  • Next wager should be $512.

Above all, the Martingale system adds more excitement to your gambling experience. Win or lose, you’ll get plenty of thrills out of using this strategy.

Conclusion

It’s amazing to think that you could potentially be facing a $1.34 billion wager after losing 28 bets. This is exactly what the Martingale can do when things go horribly wrong.

Of course, the odds of losing 29 straight pass line bets are just 1 in 181,159,419. You wouldn’t have to worry about ending up in this situation for a very long time. But it’s fascinating to think that, when starting out with just a $5 bet, you could wind up in this scenario.

Everything covered here, though, is purely hypothetical. You’re likely far from a billionaire, and no casino would allow you to bet this much. Maximum bets are in place for a reason.

You don’t, however, need to be a billionaire just to have fun with the Martingale. As covered in one example, you can last for a relatively long time with the $1 online minimum bets.

Michael Stevens

Michael Stevens has been researching and writing topics involving the gambling industry for well over a decade now and is considered an expert on all things casino and sports betting. Michael has been writing for GamblingSites.org since early 2016. …

View all posts by Michael Stevens

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