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KBO Betting Predictions and Odds for April 24


We went 3-2 on our KBO bets for Friday. The “under” in Hanwha-LG easily cashed in what was expected to be a pitcher’s duel, while Kia and Lotta both won easily as moneyline favorites. We’ll look to keep the profitability rolling on Saturday when we have another full five-game slate of KBO action.

MyBookie is primed and ready with full odds for each of the games, so let’s get going!

SSG Landers vs Kiwoom Heroes

SSG won again on Friday with a 9-5 triumph over the struggling Kiwoom Heroes. The Heroes have fallen to a league-worst 6-12 on the year, while SSG is now tied for the best record in the KBO at 10-7.

SSG is a -121 moneyline favorite at baseball betting sites in Saturday’s game at Kiwoom, while the Heroes come in at -107. The Landers will have right-hander Wilmer Font taking the ball in this one, while the Heroes will counter with Won-tae Choi.

Font, a former Texas Ranger and Los Angeles Dodger, is in his first year in the KBO. The 30-year-old is off to a 1-1 start with a 5.25 ERA to this point. He pitched well last time out, holding Kia to just a run on one hit in five innings of work. Font’s 11 strikeouts in 12 innings show that he won’t be blowing anybody away, but he does get to face a Kiwoom offense that has been really scuffling over the past week.

Choi is a 24-year-old righty set to make his third start of the year. He’s been a regular in the Heroes’ rotation dating back to 2016, with a career record of 44-29 and a 4.47 ERA. He surrendered seven runs on 10 hits in a tough outing last time out against the KT Wiz, but he’s been a respectable pitcher over the past few seasons. He struggled to a 5.07 ERA last year, but he kept his ERA under 4.00 in both 2018 and 2019.

SSG picking up another win here may be the most likely outcome, but I like the value you can get on Kiwoom as a home underdog at -107. Choi has been a reliable starter for the Heroes over the years, while Font is an unproven commodity at the KBO level. Their ragged form is concerning, but Kiwoom likely isn’t as bad as their early-season record may indicate.

Pick: Kiwoom Heroes

Odds: -107

$100 Could Win You…$193.46

LG Twins vs Hanwha Eagles

We thought last night’s matchup between Ryan Carpenter and Andrew Suarez had the potential to be a low-scoring affair, and that’s exactly what transpired. The two lefties combined to allow just one run on seven hits in 12 total innings of work, and the same two teams will go at it again this evening.

The Twins are the biggest moneyline favorites on the entire slate (-243) with Chan-kyu Im set to get the ball. Yi-hwan Kim will go for Hanwha. Im doesn’t exactly have an awe-inspiring track record in the KBO, with a career ERA of 4.91 and a record of 44-51. The right-hander took the loss in his first start of 2021 after yielding four runs on five hits against Kiwoom last time out.

Kim has made three appearances so far this year, two of which have come in relief. The right-hander owns a 5.50 career ERA in this league, including a bloated 6.82 mark in 17 appearances last year. He was one of the worst regular starters in the KBO in 2020, but he has fared well in a more limited role so far this season.

Oddsmakers clearly don’t think much of Kim here, which is why the Twins are such hefty favorites. There’s no point in taking LG on the moneyline at those odds, but you can get even money on the Twins to win this one by at least three runs. A runline of 2.5 is unusual, but MyBookie seems to think this game has the potential to be lopsided in LG’s favor.

Pick: LG Twins -2.5

Odds: +100

$100 Could Win You…$200.00

NC Dinos vs Doosan Bears

The Doosan Bears exacted a bit of revenge on the NC Dinos last night in the first meeting between the teams since last year’s Korean Series. Doosan picked up a 5-1 victory behind a strong start from Won-joon Choi, while the Bears got a home run and a couple of hits out of star slugger Jose Fernandez.

The Dinos are rare plus-money underdogs (+108) on the road in tonight’s rematch. NC will have Dong-yeon Kang on the mound, while Doosan will throw left-hander Ariel Miranda.

Miranda, a former Seattle Mariner, has been excellent through his first three outings in the KBO. The southpaw is 2-0 with a tiny 0.73 ERA, and he has gotten through two of those three games without allowing a single run. Tonight’s matchup against the talented Dinos will easily be his toughest assignment thus far, but early on Miranda seems to be one of the better pitchers the league has to offer.

Kang, 28, is in his second year with the Dinos after beginning his career with Doosan. The right-hander is off to a 2-0 start so far this year with an impressive 1.08 ERA. He threw 3.1 shutout innings against Lotte out of the bullpen in his first game of the year before allowing a run on two hits to SSG last time out. Kang’s 5.58 career ERA suggests there is plenty of room for regression despite his promising start to the campaign, however.

It’s tough to bet against NC given the depth of this offense, but the pitching matchup in this one favors Doosan pretty heavily. Miranda is yet another former big-leaguer that looks like he should be able to find consistent success against the lesser competition in the KBO. With the Dinos having never seen him before, Miranda looks primed for another solid outing here tonight.

Take Doosan to cover the runline betting option at +138.

Pick: Doosan Bears -1.5

Odds: +138

$100 Could Win You…$238.00

Samsung Lions vs Kia Tigers

The Samsung Lions dropped their series opener to the Kia Tigers 4-1 last night. The Lions could do nothing against right-hander Daniel Mengden, who held Samsung to a run on three hits with nine strikeouts in six innings. Jung-hyun Baek pitched pretty well for the Lions, but the offense wasn’t able to offer much support.

Samsung is in a nice bounce-back spot as -175 moneyline favorites on Saturday. The Lions will have Tae-in Won on the mound, while Kia will throw Min-woo Lee. This game also comes with an over/under of 9.5 runs, which is tied for the highest mark on the slate.

Won is only 21, but he has quickly become one of the better starters in the Lions’ rotation. The right-hander owns a solid 4.60 career ERA despite being incredibly young, and he is off to an excellent start so far this term. Won has allowed just two runs on 12 hits across 18 innings of work to begin the season across three games against Doosan, Hanwha, and Lotte.

Lee hasn’t found a whole lot of success in this league. The righty has a career 6.36 ERA, and through his first two games of 2021, his ERA is sitting north of 12.00. Since becoming a full-time member of the Tigers’ pitching staff in 2018, Lee’s best ERA in a single season is an underwhelming 5.43 mark back in 2019.

Frankly, it’s easy to see why oddsmakers are so bullish on the Lions here. Won is one of the most promising young starters in the entire league, while Lee is about as hittable as they come. Samsung is viable at -175 on the moneyline, but I prefer the Lions to cover the runline (1.5) at the more advantageous -108 number.

Pick: Samsung Lions -1.5

Odds: -108

$100 Could Win You…$192.59

Lotte Giants vs KT Wiz

The Giants were crushed 13-1 by Doosan on Thursday, but they bounced back in a big way with a 10-5 trouncing of the KT Wiz in their weekend series opener on Friday. Dae-ho Lee, Dong-hui Han, and Tae-yul Kang all homered for Lotte, while starter Enderson Franco held the Wiz to just a run on his six solid innings of work.

The Wiz are -138 moneyline favorites to fight back and win Saturday’s game, which features a 9.5-run over/under. KT will have Young-pyo Ko on the hill, while Lotte counters with Se-woong Park.

Ko is a 29-year-old righty with a career 5.16 KBO ERA. He’s off to a solid start this season, though, with a tidy 3.00 ERA and a 2-0 record through his first three starts. He’s allowed three earned runs or fewer in each game to this point, with at least five strikeouts in every start.

Park’s career with Lotte got off to a rough start when he posted twin 5.76 ERAs in each of his first two years, but he has rounded into form ever since. Park has a 3.57 ERA with a 1-1 record through three games this year, and he has posted an ERA of 4.70 or better in three of the last four seasons overall. Park has allowed four homers through three games, which hardly comes as a surprise after he surrendered 20 dingers a season ago.

Neither pitcher is terrible, but neither is an ace-caliber arm, either. The -120 odds pretty heavily favor the over on 9.5 runs here, and I tend to agree. With a couple of mediocre starters taking the mound, bet on some runs being scored in Giants-Wiz this evening.

Pick: Over 9.5 Runs

Odds: -120

$100 Could Win You…$183.33

Taylor Smith

Taylor Smith has been a staff writer with since early 2017. Taylor is primarily a sports writer, though he will occasionally dabble in other things like politics and entertainment betting. His primary specialties are writing about the NBA, Major League Baseball, NFL and domestic and international soccer. Fringe sports like golf and horse racing aren’t exactly his cup of tea, bu …

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