The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the first NFL team to play in their home stadium for a Super Bowl. Yet, despite the home field advantage, the Bucs enter as the underdog against the Kansas City Chiefs.
Although the standard NFL wagers for this game are very appealing, we’re only going to focus on the best prop bets for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
A prop bet is wagering on a specific event or occurrence to happen during the game. The following list of prop bets are all focused on specific events or accomplishments for the Buccaneers and their individual players during Super Bowl 55.
Tampa Bay First Offensive Touchdown
- Touchdown Pass (-180)
- Any Other Touchdown (+150)
This team prop bet is a little surprising in regards to the odds. The Buccaneers had 16 rushing TDs on the season out of 59 total touchdowns. 42 TDs were via passing and one more via the defense.
Yet, the Bucs like to run the ball when they get down in the red zone especially within the five yard line. The Chiefs gave up at least 1 rushing TD per game over their last three games including the Playoffs.
I think the “other TD” option is worthy of a flier for the risk takers out there. However, if you aren’t feeling frisky then go with the “touchdown pass” option.
Tampa Bay First Offensive Touchdown – Pass (-180)
Tampa Bay First Scoring Play
- Touchdown (-220)
- Field Goal (+160)
- Safety (+4000)
- Does Not Score (+5000)
The Buccaneers scored 58 offensive touchdowns this season and 28 field goals. They averaged over 30ppg in the regular season and in the Playoffs as well.
Online NFL betting sites feel that the team will score a TD first as they have made that betting option the sizable favorite. However, I actually think the Bucs will score a FG first and I really like the value of +160.
We can eliminate the possibility of not scoring and a safety. Neither will happen in this Super Bowl. So, it’s down to a TD or a FG.
In addition to the value, I think the Bucs will drive down the field but find themselves unable to punch it into the endzone either due to their own doing or because the Chiefs play a bend, but don’t break defense. Just look how they kept the Bills from scoring TDs and held them to FGs most of the game.
Tampa Bay First Scoring Play – Field Goal (+160)
Tampa Bay Have a Rushing Touchdown?
- Yes (-200)
- No (+160)
As mentioned, Tampa Bay had 16 rushing touchdowns this season. In the Playoffs, the Bucs have rushed for at least one touchdown in all three of their postseason games.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have to get their running game going against the Chiefs if they want to have success in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs finished 21st against the run during the regular season as they allowed 122.1 rushing yards per game.
Ronald Jones’ 2020 season:
🔺 PFF rushing grade – 86.4 (5th)
🔺 Yards per rush – 5.1 (7th)
🔺 YAC per rush – 3.6 (3rd) pic.twitter.com/Hnl4I7RCh6— PFF (@PFF) January 24, 2021
Furthermore, the Browns rushed for 112 yards and 1 TD against KC in the Playoffs.
Another reason why the Bucs need to establish a run is because it helps with their play action passing attack.
With two solid tight ends in Gronkowski and Brate, the Bucs will fake the hand off and find one of them wide open provided that they establish the run early on. Or, they can take the deep shot down the field that Brady loves to do.
I see no reason why the Bucs won’t score at least one rushing TD in Super Bowl 55.
Will Tampa Have a Rushing Touchdown – Yes (-200)
Will Tampa Bay Win Both Halves
- No (-700)
- Yes (+475)
The Chiefs owned the Bucs in the first half of their Week 12 matchup. They outscored Tampa Bay 17-0 in the 1st quarter and 20-7 for the first half. Yet, Tampa Bay came back in the 2nd half to outscore KC 17-7 which included a 14-0 4th quarter.
The Bucs average 15.5 points per half in home games and allowed 14.8 points per half. The Chiefs score 16.5 points per half in road games.
I see each team winning one half in this Super Bowl. I don’t see any scenario where the Bucs win both halves.
Will Tampa Bay Win Both Halves – No (-700)
Tom Brady Total TD Passes
- 2 (+175)
- 3 (+275)
- 1 (+300)
- 4 or more (+375)
- 0 (+800)
Tom Brady finished the 2020 regular season with 40 TD passes. That breaks down to an average of 2.5 TDs per game. In Week 12 versus the Chiefs, Brady threw 3 TD passes in a losing effort.
Tom Brady has thrown a pass targeted 20+ yards downfield a league high 115 times
Next closest Aaron Rodgers 89 👀 pic.twitter.com/qzvh18Qxfm
— PFF (@PFF) January 31, 2021
In the postseason so far, Brady has thrown 7 TDs which breaks down to 2.3 TDs per game. However, he tossed 3 TDs against Green Bay on the road in the NFC title game.
For his career, Brady has thrown 18 TDs in his 9 Super Bowl appearances. Although that only equates to 2.0 TDs per game, I fully expect Brady to throw for 3 TDs in Super Bowl 55. I really like the value at +275 odds.
Tom Brady Total TD Passes – 3 TDs (+275)
Tom Brady Total Passing Attempts
- Over 39½ Attempts (-125)
- Under 39½ Attempts (-105)
Brady finished the regular season with 610 passing attempts, which breaks down to 38.1 attempts per game. He’s averaging 36.3 attempts per game in the Playoffs. However, Brady did throw the ball 41 times in the Week 12 matchup against the Chiefs.
Furthermore, he has the Super Bowl record for most career attempts with 392, which breaks down to 43.5 attempts per game.
I believe Brady is going to have to throw the ball at least 40 times in Super Bowl 55 for the Bucs to have a realistic shot at beating the Chiefs. Go with the Over for this prop bet, which offers value at -125 odds.
Tom Brady Total Passing Attempts – Over 39½ (-125)
Rick Rockwell
As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …
