The Best Bets for Week 10 of the 2020 NFL Season

After stumbling in Week 8, the Favorites bounced back in the win column for Week 9 as they went 10-4 SU, which brings their season total to 87-44-1.

However, the Underdogs came away with the win versus the spread as they went 8-6, which brings their season total to 72-59-1 ATS.

The Over was victorious once again as it went 10-4 and now has a season total of 73-59-1.

Home teams struggled in Week 9 as they had one of their worst weeks going 5-9 SU and 7-7 ATS. For the season, Home teams are now 64-67-1 SU and 60-71-1 ATS. So far, there has been no home field advantage in 2020 largely due to having no fans in most of the stadiums.

Let’s huddle up and take a look at the best bets for Week 10 of the 2020 NFL season. Betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

Quick Recap of Week 9’s Best Bets

In Week 9, we had a strong performance going 2-2 with the following NFL wagers:

• Seahawks and Bills Go Over 55 Points
• Ravens Lead at Halftime Over Colts
• Raiders Beat the Chargers
• Steelers Win by More Than Two Tds

Let’s start with the losses first. The Ravens beat the Colts 24 to 10 last week, but were down 10 to 7 at halftime. One of the biggest surprises of the week was Dallas almost beating the Steelers. Pittsburgh had to come back late in the game to win 24 to 19.

In our two wins, the Bills and the Seahawks combined for 78 total points and the Raiders held on to beat the Chargers 31 to 26.

With a .500 record for Week 9, we’re now sitting at 23-11 on the season heading into Week 10.

Colts and Titans Score Over 48.5 points

• Over 48.5 points (-120)

Week 10 begins with an AFC South battle as the Indianapolis Colts head out on the road to face their divisional rival the Tennessee Titans.

I think this is going to be an exciting game and should go Over the 48 point threshold.

In their last 10 head to head matchups, these two teams have averaged 50.1 total points per game as the Colts average 26.8ppg and the Titans average 23.1ppg. During that same stretch, the Over is 6-4.

Week 10 is here! 🏈

The @colts pay a visit to the @titans on #TNF!

📺: #INDvsTEN — THURSDAY (7:30pm ET) on NFLN/FOX/PRIME VIDEO pic.twitter.com/g6cq9bQZYS

— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) November 10, 2020

For the season, these two AFC South rivals combine to average 55ppg as the Titans score 29ppg and the Colts score 26ppg. They also allow over 45ppg as the Colts give up 20ppg and the Titans give up 25.1ppg.

In their combined five total losses this year, these teams have allowed 56.7 total points per game as Indy gave up 27.7ppg and Tennessee gave up 29ppg in defeat.

Just a few more trends to hammer home this point:

• Indy has seen the Over go 4-1 in their last five road games and 5-1 in their last six divisional contests.
• Tennessee has seen the Over go 5-2 in their last seven games, 4-1 in their last five home games, and 5-1 in their last six AFC South games.

Bills Beat Arizona in the Desert

• Buffalo Bills (+110)

The Arizona Cardinals opened as the betting favorite in this matchup with a spread as high as 3 points. Currently, it sits at one point in favor of the Cardinals.

It’s surprising to see Arizona favored considering they just lost in Week 9 to the Dolphins and the Bills crushed the Seahawks, forcing Russell Wilson to have his worst game of the season.

Now, Buffalo heads out on the road where they are 3-1 on the season to battle the Cardinals who are 2-2 in home games.

Not only do I think the Bills win this game, but I believe they will do it in convincing fashion.

Buffalo’s offense is heating up after a few stumbling blocks during October. The big reason I believe they will win this game is the matchup of their passing attack versus the Cardinals pass defense.

Buffalo averages 289.9 passing yards per game and Arizona allows 265.6 ypg through the air. Furthermore, Arizona has given up 442 total ypg over the last two weeks, which bodes well for a Bills offense that put up 450 yards last weekend.

With Allen playing well, and a defense that’s improving, Buffalo should pick up another solid victory against a good football team.

Bucs Win by a TD vs Panthers

• Bucs -5 (-110)

Just take a look at the tweet of Tom Brady. That’s “angry TB 12” and that’s bad news for the Carolina Panthers. Every time Brady has faced adversity or is extra motivated, he comes out and puts up a strong performance.

Brady suffered the worst loss of his career on Sunday Night Football against the Saints. It was brutal to watch and I’m sure it lit a fire in Brady, who will definitely get his teammates fired up as well.

The Bucs’ 35-point loss to the Saints is the largest of Tom Brady’s career.

The previous record was a 31-0 shutout vs. the Bills in 2003. pic.twitter.com/Fo58sWgcqB

— ESPN (@espn) November 9, 2020

In their first matchup of the season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Panthers by 14 points. They’re 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings versus Carolina.

More than anything, this wager is based on Tom Brady and how he plays after being embarrassed. The extra motivation is going to show this Sunday as the Bucs beat the Panthers by more than a touchdown.

Furthermore, it looks like Christian McCaffrey won’t be playing for the Panthers. The star running back just returned last week from an ankle injury, but suffered a shoulder injury against the Chiefs which could keep him out for a week or more.

Chargers and Dolphins Over 48 points

• Over 48 (-115)

I am excited for this matchup as it features two of the top rookie QBs in the NFL as LA’s Justin Herbert duels with Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa.

With the way these two teams have been playing, I think we’re going to get a high scoring battle on Sunday.

Combined, these two teams average 53.4ppg as the Dolphins score 27.9ppg and the Los Angeles Chargers score 25.6ppg.

These two teams also combine to allow 47.1ppg as the Dolphins allow 20.1ppg and the Chargers allow 27ppg.

However, the Chargers have allowed 29 or more points in five straight games. Furthermore, the Dolphins have combined to go over 48 total points five times this season.

The Over is 5-0 in the Chargers last five games and 12-6 in Miami’s last 18 games during the month of November including last weekend versus the Cardinals.

This game should end up being a shootout through the air as the Chargers have a terrible offensive line and little consistency on the ground and Miami will be without two of their top running backs in Breida and Gaskin.

With both teams throwing more, I expect these offenses to go up and down the field. Additionally, I expect them to put up at least 24 points apiece.