The Best Bets for Week 15 of the 2020 NFL Season

For the first time in nearly a month, the Favorites came away as the overall winner in Week 14 by going 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS. It was easily one of their best weeks of the 2020 season. For the year, Favorites are now 136-67-1 SU and 91-111-2 ATS.

Home teams went 8-8 SU and 10-6 ATS last week. Yet, it was an improvement from the horrible Week 13 showing where home teams went 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS. For the season, Home teams are 101-102-1 SU and 96-106-2 ATS.

Lastly, the Unders went 11-5 in Week 14 which extends their winning streak to five straight weeks. For the season, the O/U is 96-101-6.

Let’s huddle up and take a look at the best bets for Week 15 of the 2020 NFL season. Betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline.

Quick Recap of Week 14’s Best Bets

In Week 14, we had another solid performance going 3-0-1 with the following NFL wagers:

• Arizona Wins at New York
• Colts Beat Raiders by a FG
• Chiefs Lead by a TD at Halftime Over Dolphins
• Ravens Beat the Browns on MNF

Heading into the week, I felt confident in the Arizona Cardinals turning things around by heading to New York and beating the Giants in a close game. Well, Arizona made it look easier than anyone predicted as they won by the score of 26 to 7.

I loved the Colts getting any spread at 3 points and under against the Raiders as I believed they would easily cover that line. However, I didn’t think they would win 44 to 27. Yet, I also didn’t see any scenario where the Raiders could win.

The Ravens vs Browns MNF game is being hailed as the best game of the 2020 season so far. And, it’s hard to argue against that praise. Although it took a last second FG, the Ravens won the game as I predicted.

My lone blemish for Week 14 was the Chiefs pushing a 4 point spread at halftime. Although I predicted that KC would cover the spread by a touchdown at halftime, they ended up leading 14 to 10 which made it a push. I’ll take it as this becomes my first unbeaten week of the season.

For the season, we’re now at 37-16-1 heading into Week 15.

Buffalo Beats Denver by a TD

• Bills -6.5 (-105)

With a win on Saturday, the Buffalo Bills can clinch the AFC East division for the first time in 25 years. That’s enough motivation to keep this team playing at a high level and not have to worry about an emotional drop off after a big SNF win over the Steelers in Week 14.

Buffalo is 6-0 ATS in their last six head to head meetings against the Broncos. Furthermore, they’re 8-1 SU as the favorite this year, 5-0 ATS in their last five games and 12-4 SU when a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

Us heading to Denver this weekend…pic.twitter.com/1dh6K6h9tU

— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 16, 2020

Denver is 1-4 SU against winning teams this year and 8-14 SU as an underdog of 3.5 to 9 points. They’re also 11-21 SU as an underdog.

Buffalo is averaging 27.6ppg and the Broncos are averaging 19.8ppg. I expect the score for this week’s matchup to be very close to these averages. Furthermore, the Bills are a much better team on both sides of the ball than the Broncos are.

Vikings Beat Bears in Playoff Eliminator

• Vikings (-175)

Both teams come into this matchup sitting 6-7 on the season and one game back of the Arizona Cardinals for the final Playoff spot in the NFC.

In their first matchup of the 2020 season, the Minnesota Vikings won 19 to 13. This week, I see a similar result in favor of the Vikings.

The Bears are far too inconsistent at the QB position to make a legitimate push for the final Playoff spot. Additionally, their offensive line is below average. They’re also a one dimensional offense as they can’t even crack 94 rushing yards per game.

The Vikings have the better QB, better receivers, better offensive line, and better running game that averages 146.9 yards per game.

Chicago is 2-6 SU in their last eight games at Minnesota and 1-6 SU in their last seven games on the season. The Vikings are 3-1 SU when a home favorite of 3pts or less, 20-7 SU as a favorite, and 7-2 SU when playing against a losing team in the second half of the season.

Back to business.

📸: https://t.co/9qyvsxP81Z pic.twitter.com/nzqtl4906N

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) December 16, 2020

Bucs vs Falcons Under 51 Points

• Under 50.5 pts (-110)

As mentioned above, the Under has won five straight weeks this season and leads the Over on the year. Although betting trends between these two teams over the last few years suggest the Over, I like the Under 51 points.

The Atlanta Falcons have seen the Under go 4-1 in their last five home games. Furthermore, they’ve held high scoring offenses like the Chargers and Saints to 24 points or less over the last five weeks.

The Bucs, just played the Vikings and the total was 40 points. In Week 13, the total was 51 against the Chiefs and 51 against the Rams in Week 12. These are the Falcons and they’ve scored over 17 points or less in three of their last four games.

Another reason I like the Under is because of injuries. Atlanta could be missing Julio Jones once again and Tampa Bay could be missing running back Ronald Jones.

Ravens Lead Jaguars by More Than a TD at Halftime

• Baltimore -7 at halftime (-112)

This Jacksonville Jaguars team is atrocious. They score just 20.1ppg while the Ravens allow 21.9ppg. Baltimore scores 27.9ppg and the Jaguars give up 29.5ppg.

The Jaguars were blown out 31 to 10 last week by the Titans and I expect a similar outcome this week. The Ravens are making a last minute push to secure a Wild Card spot, so they can’t overlook the Jags or take anything for granted. One loss could mean they miss the postseason.

Baltimore is 7-0 ATS in their last seven December games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games during the last four weeks of the regular season. The Jaguars are 3-7 ATS versus winning teams.

No matter how well the Jaguars have played Baltimore in the past, these are two very different teams on two very different paths. Take Baltimore to get out to a big halftime lead and cruise to a victory.