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TNF AFC South Betting Preview: Colts vs Titans Odds and Pick

tnf-afc-south-betting-preview:-colts-vs-titans-odds-and-pick

Pick: Over 48.5 points

Odds: -110

$100 Could Win You…$190.91

Week 10 of the 2020 NFL season kicks off with an AFC South battle as the division leading Tennessee Titans host the Indianapolis Colts.

Currently, the Titans lead the Colts by one game as they clash for the first time this season. Can the Titans extend their lead or will the Colts tie the Titans atop of the division standings with a big road win? Kickoff inside Nissan Stadium is at 8:20PM ET.

Colts vs Titans Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
Indianapolis Colts +1 (+105) +113 Over 48.5 (-110)
Tennessee Titans -1 (-125) -133 Under 48.5 (-110)
Betting Data Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans
2020 Record 5-3 6-2
2020 Home 3-1 4-1
2020 Away 2-2 2-1
2020 ATS 4-4 3-5
2020 ATS Home 2-2 3-2
2020 ATS Away 2-2 0-3
2020 O/U 4-4 5-2-1
2020 O/U Home 1-3 3-1-1
2020 O/U Away 3-1 2-1

Colts vs Titans TNF Game Preview

These two AFC South divisional rivals have played against each other 41 times with the Indianapolis Colts holding a commanding 34 to 17 lead. The Colts are 14-3 in the last 17 head to head meetings and 15-8 all-time at Tennessee. Indy has gone 7-1 in the last eight games at TN.

  • The Indianapolis Colts (5-3) are coming off a disappointing performance last Sunday as they lost to the Ravens 24-10. Indy had a hard time scoring points and just seemed to make too many costly mistakes. Now, they look to rebound and get a big win this weekend. Can the Colts upset the Titans on the road?
  • The Tennessee Titans (6-2) snapped a two game losing skid by defeating the Bears 24 to 17 in Week 9. They got out to a big lead and held on for the win. Tennessee is looking to string together another winning streak by picking up a much needed divisional victory.

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Indy is 7-3 SU in last 10 meetings
  • Indy is 6-4 ATS in last 10 matchups
  • Over is 6-4 in last 10 games
  • Indy is 14-3 SU in last 17 meetings
  • Indy is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games
  • Indy is 7-1 SU in last eight games at TN

Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends

  • 5-2 SU in last seven overall games
  • 2-4 SU in last six November games
  • 5-13 SU as an underdog
  • 1-6 ATS in last seven AFC games
  • 8-5 ATS in last 13 AFC South games
  • 9-5 ATS when playing against winning teams
  • Over is 4-1 in last five road games
  • Over is 5-1 in last six AFC South games

Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

  • 5-2 SU in last seven games as a favorite
  • 9-3 SU in last 12 overall games
  • 2-5 ATS in last seven TNF games
  • 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a favorite
  • 3-6 ATS in last nine overall games
  • Over is 5-2 in last seven games
  • Over is 5-1 in last six AFC South games

The spread opened with the Titans favored as high as 2.5 points, but has come down since then to Tennessee favored by one point with most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 50.5 points and has come down to a total of 48.5 points with most online betting sites.

Free TNF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Over 48.5 points (-110)

In their last 10 divisional meetings, the Colts have averaged 26.8ppg and the Titans have averaged 23.1ppg. That’s a total of 50.1ppg.

On the season, these two rivals combine to score 55ppg as the Colts average 26ppg and the Titans average 29ppg. They give up a combined 45.1ppg as Indy allows 20ppg and the Titans allow 25.1ppg.

In their three losses, the Colts are allowing 27.7ppg. In the Titans two losses, they’ve given up 29ppg. In losing efforts, these two teams allow 56.7ppg.

Week 10 is here! 🏈

The @colts pay a visit to the @titans on #TNF!

📺: #INDvsTEN — THURSDAY (7:30pm ET) on NFLN/FOX/PRIME VIDEO pic.twitter.com/g6cq9bQZYS

— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) November 10, 2020

Indy has allowed 27ppg in their one divisional game this season and the Titans have allowed 34.5ppg in their two divisional games. That’s a combined 61.5ppg in divisional matchups.

Those numbers are compelling enough to go with the Over, but there’s more.

The Over is 6-4 in the last 10 head to head meetings. Furthermore, the Over is 4-1 in Indy’s last five road games and 5-1 in their last six AFC South games. The Over is 5-2 in Tennessee’s last seven overall games, 4-1 in their last five home games and 5-1 in their last six divisional matchups.

All of the data is pointing towards these two teams going Over 48.5 points on Thursday Night Football.

I expect the Colts to bounce back this week and score at least 25 points in this matchup. Tennessee does not have a good defense as they’re allowing 25.1ppg, 403.9 total ypg and 284.8 passing ypg. You can expect Colts QB Philip Rivers to have a strong performance throwing the ball.

However, this game is going to come down to whichever team does a better job stopping the run since they both like to establish a ground game and use the play action pass.

Indy allows just 83.6 rushing ypg while the Titans run the ball to the tune of 147.6 ypg. Conversely, the Colts average 102.4 ypg on the ground and the Titans allow 119.1 rushing ypg.

I like this matchup for the Colts and see Indy picking up a big road win this week. They will contain Derrick Henry on the ground and force Tannehill to beat them through the air. I do give the edge to Tennessee in the passing game, but their defense is too much of a liability.

This game could go either way as to who wins despite Indy owning the head to head series over the last several years. With that said, I feel more confident in the Over/Under than any other wager for this TNF game.

Colts vs Titans Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Colts (+113) vs Titans (-133)
  • Spread: Titans -1 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Colts 27 – Titans 24




Colts vs Titans Pick

Over 48.5 points (-110)

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …

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