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Week 14 TNF Betting Preview: Patriots vs Rams Odds and Pick

week-14-tnf-betting-preview:-patriots-vs-rams-odds-and-pick

Pick: Patriots +5

Odds: -105

$100 Could Win You…$195.24

Week 14 kicks off with two teams making desperate pushes for a spot in the Playoffs as the Los Angeles Rams host the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football.

Following the conclusion of Week 13, the Rams are now back in 1st place on top of the NFC West division. The Patriots got a huge road win against the Chargers and currently sit two games back of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC.

Which team will get the much needed win? Kickoff inside SoFi Stadium is at 8:20 PM ET.

Patriots vs Rams Live Odds and Betting History

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Lines Totals
New England Patriots +5 (-105) +199 Over 45 (-110)
Los Angeles Rams -5 (-115) -229 Under 45 (-110)
Betting Data New England Patriots Los Angeles Rams
2020 Record 6-6 8-4
2020 Home 4-2 4-1
2020 Away 2-4 4-3
2020 ATS 6-6 7-5
2020 ATS Home 4-2 3-2
2020 ATS Away 2-4 4-3
2020 O/U 4-8 4-8
2020 O/U Home 1-5 0-5
2020 O/U Away 3-3 4-3

Patriots vs Rams NFL Game Preview

These two teams have played against each other 14 times and it’s New England that leads the all-time series with a record of 9-5.

The last time that these two teams played against each other was in February 2019 for Super Bowl LIII. It was the Patriots that won 13 to 3 in the lowest scoring Super Bowl ever.

They also played against each other in Super Bowl XXXVI and it was the Patriots that won that game as well, by the score of 20 to 17 on a last second field goal.

  • New England Patriots (6-6) is coming off a 45 to 0 thrashing of the LA Chargers and seemed to regain a lot of their confidence as a team. Now, they will face the tougher of the two Los Angeles football teams as they hope to extend their winning streak to three straight games.
  • Los Angeles Rams (8-4) is coming off an impressive win over divisional rivals the Arizona Cardinals by the score of 38 to 28. Both sides of the ball played well and the Rams now find themselves at the top of the NFC West. Can the Rams stay on top or will they end up falling to the Patriots at home?

Head to Head Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 6-2 SU in last eight meetings
  • Patriots are 6-2 ATS in last eight contest
  • Under is 5-3 in last eight matchups
  • Patriots are 6-0 SU in last six meetings

New England Patriots Betting Trends

  • 4-1 SU in last five games
  • 14-6 SU in last 20 December games
  • 9-2 SU in last 11 NFC games
  • 2-4 ATS in last six road games
  • 4-2 ATS in last six overall games
  • 4-2 ATS in last six games as an underdog
  • Under is 5-1 in last six NFC West games

Los Angeles Rams Betting Trends

  • 9-4 SU in last 13 games
  • 7-4 SU in last 11 December games
  • 12-2 SU following a divisional game
  • 5-7 SU in last 12 Thursday games
  • 7-1 SU when a favorite of 3.5 to 7pts
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 December games
  • 0-5 ATS in last five AFC East games
  • 6-1 ATS when a favorite of 3.5 to 7pts
  • Under is 5-0 in last five home games

The spread opened with the Rams favored by 6.5 points. Since then, it has come down to 5 points in favor of Los Angeles at most NFL betting sites. The Over/Under opened at 45 total points and remains unchanged.

Free TNF Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Patriots +5

It makes me a little bit uneasy to go with the Patriots in this matchup, but I have a hard time seeing the Rams winning by more than five points in what should be a tough, physical game where both teams will want to run the ball and play solid defense.

On the season, the Rams are scoring 25.1ppg and giving up 20.3ppg. The Patriots are scoring 22.8ppg and giving up 21.3ppg. These averages are very close in points scored and points allowed.

When the Rams played against other physical teams like the Patriots, they went 2-2 with losses to the 49ers and the Dolphins. Furthermore, they only beat Tampa Bay and Seattle by one score.

First Look: Rams host Patriots on Thursday Night Football

— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 8, 2020

The Patriots have been playing in one score differences since Week 8, if you don’t include what happened in the Chargers game last weekend. Prior to that blowout win, New England was involved in five straight one score games.

The Rams average 124.2 ypg on the ground and New England allows 118.8 ypg. However, the Rams give up just 93.1ypg on the ground and the Patriots average nearly 151 rushing yards per game. Both teams will try to run the ball, we’ll see who has the most success.

The team that can establish the run will most likely win this game because it will also open up the passing game especially the play action pass.

I believe the Rams will win, but it will probably be by a FG. Look for the Patriots to play man against the Rams receivers and try to take away the run. They will force Rams QB Jared Goff to beat them. That’s a coin flip considering his inconsistencies as of late. He has 10 INTs and a handful of fumbles this year.

I see this being a low scoring game with the Rams holding off the Pats. The loss will pretty much eliminate New England from the Playoffs.

Patriots vs Rams Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: BetOnline
  • Moneylines: Patriots (+199) vs Rams (-229)
  • Spread: Rams -5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 45 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Rams 23 – Patriots 20




Patriots vs Rams Pick

Patriots +5

Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed “King of the Blog” in his first year with the site. …

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